Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Marinelli A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (244/321) | 66% (194/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (244/321) | 66% (194/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 52% (69/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.95 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Casiraghi D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 0, Ghiglione P. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
- 59', Casiraghi D. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 59', Davi S. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Ferrari G. M. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Pietrangeli N. ⚽,
- 70', Soriano R. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
- 70', Merkaj S. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 70', Martini J. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 76', Cerri A. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
- 77', Verde D. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 77', Praszelik M. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
- 86', Corazza T. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
- 90+6', Mallamo A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/25e73ty6
Chances of winning
Salernitana
44.6% | Draw
29.9% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.11) |
3.13 ↑
(3.11) |
3.65 ↓
(3.67) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Salernitana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Südtirol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Salernitana will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J.
(Injury)
Bronn D.
(Injury)
Jaroszynski P.
(Injury)
Njoh L.
(Red Card)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Inactive)
Simy
(Inactive)
Wlodarczyk S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
El Kaouakibi H.
(Yellow Cards)
Kurtic J.
(Injury)
Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Salernitana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Salernitana?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
24.08.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Salernitana
3:2
Latest results of Salernitana
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
