Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belarus | Sport TV |
Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (128/215) | 81% (341/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (128/215) | 81% (341/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (63/109) | 68% (70/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Bordon F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bordon F. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Merkaj S. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
- 54', 1 - 1, Hainaut A. ⚽, Haps R. (A),
- 63', Perez K. 🟨,
- 65', Crnigoj D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 65', Zedadka K. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
- 66', Perez K. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 67', Lauberbach L. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 74', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
- 76', Casiraghi D. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 85', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
- 86', Yeboah J. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
- 90', Casas A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige 22.7% | Draw 28.5% | Venezia 48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.11 ↑ (4) |
3.31 ↑ (3.1) |
1.94 ↓ (2.01) |
6.1% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.
- Südtirol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Martini J.
(Injury)
Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Compagnon M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.5:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Venezia?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Venezia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia were as follows:
29.10.2025
Venezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
3:0
10.02.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Venezia
0:3
16.12.2023
Venezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:3
21.01.2023
Venezia
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation