Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 45
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (330/424) | 76% (326/428) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (330/424) | 76% (326/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 33% (24/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (111/161) | 50% (50/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 43', Eom J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Mattsson P. 🟨,
- 60', Ward J. ↓, Key J. ↑,
- 60', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 62', Slimane A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
- 64', Fisher K. 🟨,
- 67', Tymon J. 🟨,
- 68', Franco G. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 69', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 74', Eom J. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
- 74', Yalcouye M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 77', Maghoma P. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
- 78', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 78', Widell M. 🟨,
- 81', Vigouroux L. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, McLean K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Gibbs L. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
55.7% | Draw
23.7% | Swansea City
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Norwich City - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.81) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
4.56 ↑
(3.99) |
5.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Swansea City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Swansea (4.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Norwich City will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.
- Norwich is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Swansea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Norwich is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Norwich: Amass H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chrisene B.
(Inactive)
Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Foot Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Galbraith E.
(Inactive)
Key J.
(Inactive)
Samuels-Smith I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Duffy S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Inoussa Z.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Swansea City?
Norwich City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Norwich City?
Swansea City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Swansea City were as follows:
25.10.2025
Swansea City
-
Norwich City
2:1
25.01.2025
Norwich City
-
Swansea City
5:1
14.09.2024
Swansea City
-
Norwich City
1:0
27.04.2024
Norwich City
-
Swansea City
2:2
04.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Norwich City
2:1
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
