Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 19
- Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/365) | 77% (332/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/365) | 77% (332/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (55/90) | 57% (65/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Najjarine R. 🟨,
- 41', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Popovic A. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
- 59', Lolley J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 60', Hughes I. 🟨,
- 62', Quintal T. 🟨,
- 64', Nagasawa K. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 77', Quintal T. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
- 81', Piper C. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
- 81', James M. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 87', Popovic A. ↓, Tisserand M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
25.9% | Draw
24.2% | Sydney
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wellington Phoenix's form might have worsened.Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wellington Phoenix - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(2.6) |
3.89 ↑
(3.55) |
1.91 ↓
(2.3) |
5.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Sydney?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sydney will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sydney will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
- Wellington has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sydney has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
- Sydney will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Eze I.
(Yellow Cards)
McCarron E.
(Inactive)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Sydney: Stamatelopoulos A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Sydney?
Wellington Phoenix has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Wellington Phoenix?
Sydney has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Sydney were as follows:
18.01.2026
Sydney
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:2
16.03.2025
Sydney
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:1
15.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney
0:0
16.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney
2:1
29.12.2023
Sydney
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
