Result
1:1
16/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 23
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 4 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Singapore | StarHub TV+ |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (569/644) | 68% (172/253) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (130/163) | 51% (32/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 25% (1/4) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 50% (4/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Segecic A. ⚽, Lolley J. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Barbarouses K. ⚽, Geraldes F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hollman C. ↓, Kamijo W. ↑,
- 46', Segecic A. ↓, Douglas Costa ↑,
- 69', Klimala P. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
- 69', Lolley J. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
- 72', Hughes I. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
- 80', Geraldes F. ↓, Ishige H. ↑,
- 80', Retre P. ↓, Nagasawa K. ↑,
- 82', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 82', Grant R. 🟨,
- 82', Barbarouses K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Piper C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sydney
72.2% | Draw
17.1% | Wellington Phoenix
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Sydney - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.51) |
5.48 ↑
(4.43) |
8.83 ↑
(5.85) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Sydney - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 71.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sydney won 1.
- Sydney in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Wellington has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wellington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sydney have a series of guest games.
- In this match Sydney is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Sydney: Gurd A.
(Collarbone injury)
Popovic A.
(Injury)
Shaw K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Conchie F.
(Injury)
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- Our prediction for today's Sydney to win the game is with odds 1.39.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sydney won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:21 (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sydney won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:12 (average 2.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Wellington Phoenix?
Sydney has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Sydney?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
15.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney
0:0
16.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney
2:1
29.12.2023
Sydney
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:1
11.03.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney
1:0
07.01.2023
Sydney
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
