Result
0:1
06/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/387) | 69% (238/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/387) | 69% (238/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 43% (32/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (61/117) | 46% (39/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Gouda A. 🟨,
- 26', Mohareb I. 🟨,
- 28', Abdelfattah K. 🟨,
- 34', Zola A. ↓, El Gabry H. ↑,
- 45+2', Tarek A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Farid F. 🟨,
- 56', Dunga M. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 65', Farid F. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
- 67', Mohareb I. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
- 78', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Hatem F. ↑,
- 78', Atef M. ↓, Khaled H. ↑,
- 78', Souissi H. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
- 79', Magdi A. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 79', Wahid Y. ↓, Aladdin N. ↑,
- 79', Afsha ↓, Canaria ↑,
- 90+6', Al Madadha G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Hamdi A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 0 - 1, El Deeb K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Tala`ea El-Gaish 37.6% | Draw 35.7% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.66) |
2.59 ↑ (2.58) |
3.46 ↑ (3.08) |
8.2% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. El-Gaish will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El-Gaish: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. El-Gaish (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 1.
- El-Gaish has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Ittihad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- El-Gaish might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tala`ea El-Gaish won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Tala`ea El-Gaish has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Tala`ea El-Gaish?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
28.04.2025
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
1:2
30.11.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
0:1
04.07.2024
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
14.02.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Tala`ea El-Gaish
2:2
27.02.2023
Tala`ea El-Gaish
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
3:4
Latest results of Tala`ea El-Gaish
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | ZED | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Smouha | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Enppi | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | El Gouna | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arab Contractors | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 18 | Pharco | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 14 |
| 19 | El Gaish | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10:24 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )