Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 25
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Ivanyushin A. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Agaptsev S. ⚽, Kozhushko M. (A),
- 43', Ojamaa H. 🟥,
- 45+2', Barengrub A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ivanyushin A. ↓, Filatov A. ↑,
- 46', Svedovski A. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
- 46', Smirnov R. ↓, Jallow M. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Kozhushko M. ⚽, Campagna C. (A),
- 63', Kozhushko M. ↓, Slein G. ↑,
- 63', Maksimkin M. ↓, Doke J. ↑,
- 63', Jurisoo T. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 63', Mihhailov V. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
- 73', Bamijoko A. ↓, Kollo A. ↑,
- 81', Sotsugov D. 🟨,
- 83', Zuravljov E. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 83', Agaptsev S. ↓, Polyakov D. ↑,
- 88', Jallow M. 🟨,
- 89', Eriks Santos 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90', Polyakov D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tomberg M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
68.8% | Draw
18.3% | Tallinna Kalev
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Narva Trans - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.37) |
5.04 ↑
(4.5) |
7.13 ↑
(6.66) |
8.6%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Tallinna Kalev?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kalev will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 4.
- Narva Trans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kalev has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Narva Trans is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Tallinna Kalev?
Narva Trans has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Narva Trans?
Tallinna Kalev has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
19.05.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Narva Trans
2:5
08.04.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
1:0
02.02.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
5:2
23.10.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Narva Trans
0:1
17.08.2024
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:34 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 33:60 | -27 | 22 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
