Result
2:5
19/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 5)
- 2', Mihhailov V. 🟨,
- 3', 0 - 1, Eriks Santos ⚽, Maksimkin M. (A),
- 16', 0 - 2, Kabore P. (Pen),
- 29', Kabore P. (Pen),
- 29', 0 - 3, Kabore P. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 4, Viidas S. ⚽, Burjanadze S. (A),
- 39', 0 - 5, Kabore P. ⚽, Ivanyushin A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Surogin A. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
- 46', Famuditimi H. ↓, De Pizzol O. ↑,
- 46', Mihhailov V. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 46', Jurisoo T. 🟨,
- 59', Zuravljov E. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 65', 1 - 5, Purje A. ⚽, Jurisoo T. (A),
- 70', Jurisoo T. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
- 73', Filatov A. ↓, Jegorov A. ↑,
- 73', Viidas S. ↓, Kudriashov V. ↑,
- 73', Doke J. ↓, Kozhushko M. ↑,
- 77', Kozhushko M. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 5, Usta T. (Pen),
- 78', Usta T. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
- 86', Kozhushko M. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 88', Kollo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
19.8% | Draw
22.2% | Narva Trans
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↓
(6.43) |
4.13 ↓
(4.58) |
1.58 ↑
(1.38) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Narva Trans: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kalev (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 1.
- Recent form of Kalev has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Narva Trans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Narva Trans is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Narva Trans?
Tallinna Kalev has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Tallinna Kalev?
Narva Trans has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Narva Trans were as follows:
08.04.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
1:0
02.02.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
5:2
23.10.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Narva Trans
0:1
17.08.2024
Narva Trans
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:2
12.05.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Narva Trans
1:0
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
