Result
3:2
06/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 19
- Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ogungbe G. ⚽, Adebayo A. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Adebayo A. ⚽, Koskor T. (A),
- 24', Jurisoo T. 🟨,
- 29', Ernits R. ↓, Tsernjakov J. ↑,
- 32', Lang T. 🟥,
- 41', Usta T. (Pen),
- 41', 1 - 2, Usta T. ⚽,
- 43', Uggeri G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tanimowo O. ↓, Laabus R. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Jurisoo T. ⚽, Svedovski A. (A),
- 52', Tsernjakov J. 🟨,
- 62', Uggeri G. ↓, Sepp M. ↑,
- 68', Jurisoo T. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
- 73', Svedovski A. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 2, Palutaja H. ⚽,
- 78', Pedmanson H. ↓, Ignatius C. ↑,
- 78', Miil M. ↓, Burov K. ↑,
- 87', Svedovski A. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
- 90+2', Koskor T. ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
- 90+3', Epton D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
25% | Draw
24.6% | Tammeka
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Tallinna Kalev - Tammeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(4.24) |
3.74 ↑
(3.63) |
1.82 ↑
(1.7) |
8.8%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Tammeka?
Users Predictions:
Tammeka will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tammeka will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0.
- Kalev has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tammeka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tammeka is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Tammeka will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Tammeka?
Tallinna Kalev has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Tallinna Kalev?
Tammeka has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Tammeka were as follows:
27.05.2025
Tammeka
-
Tallinna Kalev
5:0
02.03.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Tammeka
1:2
05.10.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Tammeka
1:2
13.09.2024
Tammeka
-
Tallinna Kalev
4:1
02.06.2024
Tammeka
-
Tallinna Kalev
4:0
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Tammeka
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 60:20 | 40 | 56 |
| 2 | Flora | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 49:20 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paide | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 42:21 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Kalju | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 36 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 24:77 | -53 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
