Result
4:1
12/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 4% (1/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96% (24/25) | 89.29% (25/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 16:14, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 19:47, Kasper M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:49, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Perry C. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 01:35, 2 - 0, Goncalves G. (G), Point B. (A),
- 07:05, 2 - 1, Compher J.T. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Kane P. (A2)
- 16:22, 3 - 1, Goncalves G. (G), Point B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 16:55, 4 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Cirelli A. (A),
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
53.9% | Draw
21.6% | Detroit Red Wings
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
4.42 ↓
(4.47) |
3.88 ↓
(3.97) |
4.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
- Tampa Bay has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Detroit has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Detroit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Face Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
Raddysh D.
(Personal Reasons)
- There will not play in Detroit: Perron D.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Detroit: Copp A.
(Leg Injury)
Larkin D.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:57. (average 3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Detroit Red Wings?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit Red Wings won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Detroit Red Wings has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
28.11.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:6
17.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:1
11.04.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Detroit Red Wings
3:4
08.02.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:6
25.01.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Detroit Red Wings
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 73 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 254:249 | 81 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 73 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 228:229 | 79 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 72 | 19 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 193:216 | 76 |
| 10 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 71 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 182:266 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
