Result
1:5
12/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 19.23% (5/26) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 46 | 32 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 16.67% (2/12) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (10/12) | 100% (9/9) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.58 | 35.42 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 01:10, 0 - 1, Holmberg P. (G), Girgensons Z. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:33, 0 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Cernak E. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
- 04:06, Abols R. (2 min),
- 04:29, 0 - 3, Point B. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
- 04:29, Sanheim T. (2 min),
- 04:29, Bjorkstrand O. (2 min),
- 05:40, 1 - 3, Dvorak C. (G),
- 07:39, Cernak E. (2 min),
- 13:01, Hagel B. (2 min),
- 16:18, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 16:18, Konecny T. (2 min),
- 18:50, Seeler N. (2 min),
- 19:29, 1 - 4, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 19:59, Grebyonkin N. (2 min),
- 19:59, Gourde Y. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:46, Paul N. (5 min),
- 03:46, Crozier M. (5 min),
- 03:46, Crozier M. (10 min),
- 03:46, Abols R. (2 min),
- 03:46, Abols R. (5 min),
- 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (5 min),
- 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (10 min),
- 08:40, Hathaway G. (2 min),
- 10:36, Guentzel J. (2 min),
- 10:36, Konecny T. (2 min),
- 10:36, Konecny T. (10 min),
- 16:39, 1 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Flyers
31.7% | Draw
22.5% | Tampa Bay Lightning
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.89) |
4.23 ↓
(4.28) |
2.07 ↓
(2.09) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tampa Bay (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tampa Bay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Drysdale J.
(Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Konecny T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Brink B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Grundstrom C.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:75. (average 2.1:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 2.4:4.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Flyers won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Philadelphia Flyers has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Philadelphia Flyers?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
10.01.2026
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:7
24.11.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
3:0
13.03.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:3
07.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
1:2
09.03.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
7:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 55 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 212:138 | 83 |
| 2 | Minnesota Wild | 58 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 196:169 | 78 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 193:160 | 77 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 57 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 191:179 | 68 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 57 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 183:157 | 64 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 58 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 198:194 | 64 |
| 7 | Seattle Kraken | 56 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 162:165 | 63 |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 56 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 23 | 185:195 | 63 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 56 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 146:161 | 60 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 57 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 169:198 | 59 |
| 11 | San Jose Sharks | 55 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 171:193 | 58 |
| 12 | Chicago Blackhawks | 57 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 154:185 | 53 |
| 13 | Winnipeg Jets | 56 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 160:175 | 52 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 142:169 | 52 |
| 15 | St. Louis Blues | 57 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 147:203 | 49 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 57 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 149:210 | 42 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 55 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 199:140 | 78 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 57 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 197:163 | 78 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 57 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 199:187 | 72 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 58 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 174:175 | 72 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 192:169 | 70 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 57 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 195:176 | 70 |
| 7 | Boston Bruins | 57 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 195:182 | 69 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 58 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 169:162 | 69 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 56 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 179:177 | 65 |
| 10 | Washington Capitals | 59 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 189:177 | 65 |
| 11 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 57 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 188:194 | 63 |
| 12 | Ottawa Senators | 57 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 191:184 | 63 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Flyers | 56 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 167:180 | 61 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 57 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 174:191 | 61 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 57 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 146:175 | 58 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 57 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 151:180 | 50 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
