Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
1:5
12/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2026
Shots off target
1711
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)19.23% (5/26)
Blocked shots
1017
Goalkeeper Saves
2119
Saves PCT
84% (21/25)95% (19/20)
Penalties
129
PIM
4632
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/9)16.67% (2/12)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (10/12)100% (9/9)
Hits
3210
Faceoffs Won
3117
Faceoffs %
64.5835.42
Giveaways
199
Takeaways
16
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:10, 0 - 1, Holmberg P. (G), Girgensons Z. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 00:33, 0 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Cernak E. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • 04:06, Abols R. (2 min),
  • 04:29, 0 - 3, Point B. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 04:29, Sanheim T. (2 min),
  • 04:29, Bjorkstrand O. (2 min),
  • 05:40, 1 - 3, Dvorak C. (G),
  • 07:39, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 13:01, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 16:18, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 16:18, Konecny T. (2 min),
  • 18:50, Seeler N. (2 min),
  • 19:29, 1 - 4, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 19:59, Grebyonkin N. (2 min),
  • 19:59, Gourde Y. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:46, Paul N. (5 min),
  • 03:46, Crozier M. (5 min),
  • 03:46, Crozier M. (10 min),
  • 03:46, Abols R. (2 min),
  • 03:46, Abols R. (5 min),
  • 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (5 min),
  • 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (10 min),
  • 08:40, Hathaway G. (2 min),
  • 10:36, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 10:36, Konecny T. (2 min),
  • 10:36, Konecny T. (10 min),
  • 16:39, 1 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Flyers
31.7%		Draw
22.5%		Tampa Bay Lightning
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 22.1% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 23.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.89)    		 4.23 ↓
    (4.28)    		 2.07 ↓
    (2.09)    		 5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Tampa Bay (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Drysdale J. (Injury) Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury) Konecny T. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Brink B. (Upper-Body Injury) Grundstrom C. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:75. (average 2.1:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 2.4:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:7
    24.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers 3:0
    13.03.2025 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:3
    07.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers 1:2
    09.03.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers 7:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
    10.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:7 ✺
    08.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2 ✺
    06.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Anaheim Ducks 5:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Edmonton Oilers - Philadelphia Flyers 2:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Calgary Flames - Philadelphia Flyers 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    10.01.2026 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:7 ✺
    06.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 4:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7 ✺
    01.01.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

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    PlWWOLOLPts
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    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes673111619235:19790
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins672951518230:20483
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13New Jersey Devils672212231180:20470
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers67199831190:20964

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