Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	1.23
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
87% (466/533)	85% (360/423)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.13
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
87% (466/533)	85% (360/423)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
75% (111/148)	78% (68/87)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.78
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
80% (8/10)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
40	36
Clearances
14	26
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
1.13	0.21
Goals prevented
-0.87	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Lopez R. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
40', Ross N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
46', Hilton L. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
56', Sharp C. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
56', Azocar J. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
67', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
76', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
81', Herrera J. 🟨,
84', Bodily B. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
90', Djedje R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
90+3', Wyke L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Sacramento Republic
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.44)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)	7.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Sacramento Republic?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

01.06.2024 Sacramento Republic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1

03.06.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 1:1

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

30.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots 3:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina ✔	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Rhode Island	27	9	7	11	23:27	-4	34
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic ✔	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico ✔	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	27	6	7	14	20:46	-26	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )