Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	1.23
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
87% (466/533)	85% (360/423)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.13
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
87% (466/533)	85% (360/423)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
75% (111/148)	78% (68/87)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.78
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
80% (8/10)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
40	36
Clearances
14	26
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
1.13	0.21
Goals prevented
-0.87	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Lopez R. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
40', Ross N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
46', Hilton L. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
56', Sharp C. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
56', Azocar J. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
67', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
76', Willey B. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
81', Herrera J. 🟨,
84', Bodily B. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
90', Djedje R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
90+3', Wyke L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Sacramento Republic
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.44)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)	7.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sacramento Republic (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Tampa Bay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Sacramento Republic?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

01.06.2024 Sacramento Republic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1

03.06.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 1:1

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

30.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots 3:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)