Result
4:2
16/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Villaseca D. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Lanchi ⚽, Casillas J. (A),
- 15', Dominguez A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Villaseca D. ⚽, Ledesma L. (A),
- 45', Calero J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Lora S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 2, Lanchi ⚽,
- 57', Villaseca D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 58', Lanchi 🟨,
- 71', Grijalva A. 🟨,
- 72', Zamora S. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 72', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 72', Lora S. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Trejo Castro M. A. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Moragrega V. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
- 84', Grijalva A. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 90+1', Moragrega V. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
- 90+3', Ledesma L. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
- 90+5', Amador K. 🟨,
- 90+7', 4 - 2, Hernandez J. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
- 90+8', Hernandez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
38.7% | Draw
25.4% | Venados
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Tapatío - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.11) |
3.61 ↑
(3.54) |
2.56 ↓
(2.89) |
8.8%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Venados?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Venados will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 1.
- Tapatío is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Venados?
Tapatío has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tapatío?
Venados has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Venados were as follows:
08.08.2025
Venados
-
Tapatío
1:3
05.03.2025
Venados
-
Tapatío
4:2
27.09.2024
Tapatío
-
Venados
2:2
10.01.2024
Tapatío
-
Venados
0:2
29.08.2023
Venados
-
Tapatío
2:1
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
