Result
4:2
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Manjam A. ⚽,
- 23', 3 - 0, Enric ⚽,
- 25', Manjam A. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
- 45', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 3 - 2, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 58', de Miguel J. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 58', Aguado D. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 68', Manjam A. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
- 70', Angel M. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
- 74', Pitarch T. 🟨,
- 75', Enric 🟨,
- 78', Fabricio ↓, Juanjo ↑,
- 79', Enric ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
- 82', Martinez J. 🟥,
- 86', Zuniga L. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
- 86', Cestero Sancho J. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
- 88', Sanz A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Valles G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Tenerife
59% | Draw
24.6% | Real Madrid Castilla
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
3.72 ↑
(3.55) |
5.64 ↓
(6.33) |
9.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Tenerife is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Real Madrid Castilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Tenerife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Tenerife?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
27.09.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Tenerife
1:3
10.08.2024
Tenerife
-
Real Madrid Castilla
0:1
Latest results of Tenerife
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
