Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CT sport |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TV Canaria |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 17', 0 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,
- 28', Serrano M. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
- 45', 0 - 3, de Miguel J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Martin R. ↑,
- 46', Iglesias Lois B. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
- 55', Serrano M. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
- 58', Manjam A. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
- 58', Enric ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 67', Fortuny P. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 3, Martin R. ⚽,
- 71', Juanjo ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 75', Perez J. 🟨,
- 82', de Miguel J. 🟨,
- 83', Angel M. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
- 86', de Miguel J. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
- 86', Gil N. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Fati L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
13.6% | Draw
20.3% | Tenerife
66.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.35 ↑
(3.65) |
6.13 ↑
(3.23) |
1.68 ↓
(1.93) |
-13.4%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Real Madrid Castilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tenerife is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tenerife is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Tenerife?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Tenerife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife were as follows:
10.08.2024
Tenerife
-
Real Madrid Castilla
0:1
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
