Lech Poznań vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
65.6%
Draw
19.2%
Termalica Nieciecza
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 21.8% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 16.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.4)
    4.91
    (4.1)
    6.11
    (6.3)
    7.3%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 5.
    • Lech has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 28:8. (average 2.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań 0:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zaglebie25118640:291141
    2Jagiellonia25118642:321041
    3Lech Poznan25118642:36641
    4Gornik Zabrze25115936:32438
    5Rakow251141034:32237
    6Wisla Plock2599726:24236
    7GKS Katowice251131135:34136
    8Pogon Szczecin251041135:38-334
    9Motor Lublin25810734:38-434
    10Radomiak Radom2589841:37433
    11Cracovia2589830:28233
    12Korona Kielce25961030:29133
    13Piast Gliwice25951129:32-332
    14Lechia Gdansk25106949:47231
    15Arka Gdynia25861125:41-1630
    16Legia25611829:30-129
    17Widzew Lodz25841331:34-328
    18Termalica B-B25571329:44-1522

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          Relegation ~ Division 1