Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/491) | 84% (344/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/491) | 84% (344/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/130) | 78% (106/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Milic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 52', Jimenez J. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 52', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 61', Ismaheel T. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 63', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 63', Mini ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
- 74', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 74', Lisman K. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 74', Palma L. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 80', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 83', Fiabema B. 🟨,
- 86', Kopacz B. 🟨,
- 87', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
12.6% | Draw
20.9% | Lech Poznań
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.73 ↑
(3.31) |
6.15 ↑
(3.65) |
1.78 ↓
(2.01) |
-18.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
- Lech will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Lech Poznań?
Termalica Nieciecza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Lech Poznań has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań were as follows:
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Legia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Termalica B-B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rakow | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
