Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/491) | 84% (344/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (415/491) | 84% (344/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/130) | 78% (106/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Milic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 52', Jimenez J. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 52', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 61', Ismaheel T. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 63', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 63', Mini ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
- 74', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 74', Lisman K. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 74', Palma L. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 80', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 83', Fiabema B. 🟨,
- 86', Kopacz B. 🟨,
- 87', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
12.6% | Draw
20.9% | Lech Poznań
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.73 ↑
(3.31) |
6.15 ↑
(3.65) |
1.78 ↓
(2.01) |
-18.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lech (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Termalica (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 25%). Lech (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
- Lech will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Lech Poznań?
Termalica Nieciecza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Lech Poznań has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań were as follows:
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
