Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 84% (327/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 84% (327/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 72% (86/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 46', Kubica K. ↓, Mini ↑,
- 46', Kurzawa R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 46', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
- 59', Fassbender M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 59', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 60', van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Jimenez J. (Pen),
- 65', Bartos M. 🟨,
- 69', Wolski M. 🟨,
- 74', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 74', Krol M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 81', Samper S. 🟨,
- 81', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
- 85', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
- 85', Wolski M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 90+4', Jakubik W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
48.2% | Draw
26.4% | Termalica Nieciecza
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motor Lublin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.38) |
3.73 ↑
(3.2) |
3.94 ↑
(2.88) |
1.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Termalica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Termalica (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Motor has had a series of away games.
- Motor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Termalica: Kasperkiewicz A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo
(Injury)
Wolski B.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Motor Lublin?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
24.02.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Termalica Nieciecza
1:0
13.08.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Motor Lublin
0:2
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
