Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        14/09/2025 at  06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 | 
|  Canada | beIN Connect | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go | 
|  Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV | 
|  Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 | 
|  Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 84% (327/391) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.15 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.44 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 32 | 23 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 84% (327/391) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 52% (26/50) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 72% (86/119) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 47% (8/17) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.17 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 9 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 16 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 16 | 36 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.12 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.12 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑, 
- 46', Kubica K. ↓, Mini ↑, 
- 46', Kurzawa R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑, 
- 46', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑, 
- 59', Fassbender M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑, 
- 59', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑, 
- 60', van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑, 
- 64', 1 - 1, Jimenez J. (Pen), 
- 65', Bartos M. 🟨, 
- 69', Wolski M. 🟨, 
- 74', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑, 
- 74', Krol M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑, 
- 81', Samper S. 🟨, 
- 81', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨, 
- 85', Zapolnik K. 🟨, 
- 85', Wolski M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑, 
- 90+4', Jakubik W. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Motor Lublin 48.2%
 | Draw 26.4%
 | Termalica Nieciecza 25.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.03 ↓ (2.38)
 | 3.73 ↑ (3.2)
 | 3.94 ↑ (2.88)
 | 1.5% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Termalica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Motor has had a series of away games.
- Motor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Termalica: Kasperkiewicz A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo
(Injury)
Wolski B.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Termalica Nieciecza?
                    
                    
                        
                            Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Motor Lublin?
                    
                    
                        
                             Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
                                                        
                                24.02.2024 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                - 
                                Termalica Nieciecza 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.08.2023 
                                Termalica Nieciecza 
                                - 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Motor Lublin                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 | 
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:15 | 9 | 24 | 
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 | 
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 | 
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 | 
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 | 
| 8 | Rakow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 | 
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | 
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | 
| 11 | Legia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 | 
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 16 | 
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 | 
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 | 
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | 
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 10 | 
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 10 | 
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
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