Motor Lublin vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza
Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 8
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.15
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
82% (330/403)84% (327/391)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.44
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
82% (330/403)84% (327/391)
Long passes
45% (13/29)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
66% (72/109)72% (86/119)
Crosses
19% (3/16)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.201.17
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
1613
Tackles
50% (7/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.441.12
Goals prevented
1.440.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Czubak K. , van Hoeven B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 46', Kubica K. , Mini ,
  • 46', Kurzawa R. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 46', Hilbrycht D. , Boboc R. ,
  • 59', Fassbender M. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 59', Stolarski P. , Wojcik F. ,
  • 60', van Hoeven B. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Jimenez J. (Pen),
  • 65', Bartos M. 🟨,
  • 69', Wolski M. 🟨,
  • 74', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 74', Krol M. , Fabio Ronaldo ,
  • 81', Samper S. 🟨,
  • 81', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 85', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
  • 85', Wolski M. , Jakubik W. ,
  • 90+4', Jakubik W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
48.2%
Draw
26.4%
Termalica Nieciecza
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.9% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28.7% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.
  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termalica Nieciecza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motor Lublin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.38)
    3.83
    (3.2)
    4.11
    (2.88)
    1.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Termalica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Motor has had a series of away games.
    • Motor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Termalica: Kasperkiewicz A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Fabio Ronaldo (Injury) Wolski B. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza 1:0
    13.08.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin 0:2
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1171318:9922
    2Jagiellonia1063119:13621
    3Cracovia1053218:12618
    4Korona Kielce1153315:10518
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Legia1043313:9415
    8Radomiak Radom1143420:19115
    9Rakow1042412:13-114
    10Zaglebie1034321:16513
    11Widzew Lodz1141617:15213
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia113357:15-812
    14Motor Lublin1025311:16-511
    15Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    16GKS Katowice1122711:22-118
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1