Result
1:2
13/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/365) | 81% (385/473) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/365) | 81% (385/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (87/141) | 70% (100/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 1 - 0, Kubica K. ⚽,
- 23', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Czubak K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', 1 - 2, Wolski B. ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
- 36', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
- 39', Samper S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Stolarski P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 46', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 46', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 59', Fassbender M. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
- 65', Ndiaye M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 65', Durdov I. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 67', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
- 75', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 78', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 78', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
- 84', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 90+3', van Hoeven B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Dadashov R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Matthys H. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
38.2% | Draw
25.9% | Motor Lublin
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.51) |
3.59 ↑
(3.1) |
2.61 ↑
(2.51) |
7.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 30.1% – 75.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Motor (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Termalica Nieciecza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 4 - 80%). Motor (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Termalica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Motor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
Scalet M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Termalica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Motor Lublin?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin were as follows:
14.09.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Termalica Nieciecza
1:1
24.02.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Termalica Nieciecza
1:0
13.08.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Motor Lublin
0:2
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
