Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 32', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 43', Silva J. ↓, Fabio Erins ↑,
- 45+3', Zaragoza A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rojas H. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
- 49', Torres D. 🟨,
- 58', Gallegos D. 🟨,
- 63', Salomon O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 63', Becerra L. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
- 68', Gallegos D. ↓, Esqueda D. ↑,
- 73', Palma A. 🟥,
- 76', Figueroa F. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
- 79', Castaneda S. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 83', del Campo R. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 83', Martinez J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Nambo M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Torres A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Lazaro J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Dominguez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
31.7% | Draw
27.1% | Atlético Morelia
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.74) |
3.37 ↓
(3.39) |
2.22 ↓
(2.36) |
9.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
- In recent matches, Tlaxcala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Morelia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético Morelia?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético Morelia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
19.04.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
08.02.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
20.09.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
06.01.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
