Tlaxcala vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Total shots
104
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 32', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 43', Silva J. , Fabio Erins ,
  • 45+3', Zaragoza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rojas H. , Gonzalez P. ,
  • 49', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 58', Gallegos D. 🟨,
  • 63', Salomon O. , Morales A. ,
  • 63', Becerra L. , Partida F. ,
  • 68', Gallegos D. , Esqueda D. ,
  • 73', Palma A. 🟥,
  • 76', Figueroa F. , Moreno G. ,
  • 79', Castaneda S. , Robles E. ,
  • 83', del Campo R. , Nambo M. ,
  • 83', Martinez J. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Nambo M. ,
  • 90+2', Torres A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lazaro J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Dominguez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
31.7%
Draw
27.1%
Atlético Morelia
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 27.2% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.4% 39.5%

Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.89
(2.74)
3.37
(3.39)
2.22
(2.36)
9.2%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
    • In recent matches, Tlaxcala has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético Morelia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia 1:1
    31.10.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala 2:1
    08.02.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala 3:1
    20.09.2023 Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia 2:3
    06.01.2023 Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia 0:0
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    25.10.2025 Dorados - Tlaxcala 1:1
    11.10.2025 Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava 1:1
    04.10.2025 Atlante - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0