Result
01/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
32.6% | Draw
27.3% | Atlético Morelia
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.74) |
3.36 ↓
(3.39) |
2.28 ↓
(2.36) |
9.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
- Recent performances by Tlaxcala have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Morelia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético Morelia?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético Morelia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
19.04.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
08.02.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
20.09.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
06.01.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
