Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TVC Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 40', Roman S. 🟨,
- 40', Rios P. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Roman S. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
- 46', Palma M. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Pedroza M. ⚽,
- 65', Martinez J. ↓,
- 65', Nambo M. ↓, Polydoro L. ↑,
- 70', Gama D. ↓, Celaya J. ↑,
- 71', Rios P. ↓, Zago D. ↑,
- 77', Lopez R. ↓, Yrizar P. ↑,
- 77', Figueroa F. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
- 83', Serna A. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 87', Zago D. 🟨,
- 88', Morales B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
26% | Draw
25.8% | Atlético Morelia
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tlaxcala's form might have worsened.Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Morelia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tlaxcala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.5) |
3.61 ↑
(3.47) |
1.93 ↓
(2.51) |
7.3%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0.
- Recent matches Tlaxcala is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Morelia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético Morelia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Atlético Morelia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:24 (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético Morelia?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético Morelia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
31.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
08.02.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
20.09.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
06.01.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
