Result
0:0
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Moreno G. 🟨,
- 33', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Robles E. 🟨,
- 51', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 52', Robles E. ↓, Christian ↑,
- 53', Iniestra A. 🟨,
- 60', Martinez J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 72', Figueroa B. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 72', Dominguez M. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
- 72', Santos E. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
- 72', Hernandez E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 81', del Campo R. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 81', Moreno G. ↓, Avila Jaimes H. E. ↑,
- 84', Castillo E. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
- 84', Figueroa F. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
53.1% | Draw
24.3% | Tlaxcala
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.84) |
3.8 ↓
(3.89) |
4.07 ↑
(3.7) |
8.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tlaxcala will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético Morelia has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético Morelia?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala were as follows:
01.11.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
0:1
19.04.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
08.02.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
20.09.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético Morelia
2:3
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
