Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	2.07
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	5
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
88% (445/508)	92% (599/653)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	2.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	2.55
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	5
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
11	22
Accurate through passes
2	2
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
88% (445/508)	92% (599/653)
Long passes
35% (11/31)	45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
77% (75/98)	75% (109/145)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	1.84
Throw-ins
17	18
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
53% (8/15)	0% (0/2)
Duels won
37	20
Clearances
12	7
Interceptions
6	15
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
2.55	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.45	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Mitsumaru H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamami H. ↓, Fukuda Y. ↑,
60', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
60', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
63', Hirakawa R. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
63', Shirai R. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
72', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
72', Koizumi Y. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
74', Morita K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
83', Miyahara K. ↓, Fukazawa D. ↑,
87', Nakagawa N. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Hosoya M. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
26.1%

Draw
31%

Kashiwa Reysol
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashiwa Reysol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.55)	6.3% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 29.6% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Tezuka K. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Tokyo Verdy?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3

29.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

31.08.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:3

07.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

11.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashiwa Reysol 0:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League