Result
1:2 penalties
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (260/367) | 74% (281/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (260/367) | 74% (281/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 65% (76/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 34', Sato R. 🟨,
- 39', Omori R. 🟨,
- 42', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kato C. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Muroya S. ⚽, Hashimoto K. (A),
- 61', 1 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Tada K. (A),
- 64', Tokiwa K. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
- 64', Sato R. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
- 73', Semba T. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
- 73', Mase T. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 82', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 82', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 87', Watanabe A. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
- 90+1', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Scholz A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamamoto H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamada F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Omori S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Endo K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Torikai Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Koizumi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Itakura K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Muroya S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Tada K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hashimoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Mito HollyHock
25.6% | Draw
28.8% | Tokyo
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(3.24) |
3.23 ↑
(3.22) |
2.08 ↓
(2.23) |
6.3%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mito HollyHock - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
- Mito HollyHock is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Mito HollyHock has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
- Tokyo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Tokyo?
Mito HollyHock has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Mito HollyHock?
Tokyo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mito HollyHock - Tokyo were as follows:
11.10.2024
Tokyo
-
Mito HollyHock
1:2
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
