Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.47
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Long passes
50% (30/60)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
78% (162/208)63% (69/110)
Crosses
33% (6/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.87
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1310
Tackles
44% (4/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.470.98
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. , Yoshida Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
  • 61', Marcos Guilherme , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 61', Endo K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 67', Yumiba M. , Uno Z. ,
  • 67', Kozuka K. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 73', Takahashi T. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Sato K. , Tawaratsumida K. (A),
  • 84', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 84', Inui T. , Yajima S. ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 87', Morishige M. , Oka T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.6%
Draw
28.4%
Tokyo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.5% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.72)
    3.32
    (3.39)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.9%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Tokyo
    23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1
    15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Kyoto341710758:362261
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

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