Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

J1 League - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.94
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
85% (534/630)	73% (259/357)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.47
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
29	20
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
85% (534/630)	73% (259/357)
Long passes
50% (30/60)	34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
78% (162/208)	63% (69/110)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.55	0.87
Throw-ins
16	16
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
44% (4/9)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
50	44
Clearances
20	26
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
0.47	0.98
Goals prevented
-0.53	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽, Yoshida Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
61', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
61', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
67', Yumiba M. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
67', Kozuka K. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
73', Takahashi T. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Sato K. ⚽, Tawaratsumida K. (A),
84', Yoshida Y. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
84', Inui T. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
87', Sato K. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
87', Morishige M. ↓, Oka T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
33.6%

Draw
28.4%

Tokyo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.5%

36.1%

Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	2.47 ↓ (2.62)	5.9% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Tokyo?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Tokyo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo were as follows:

29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

27.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

28.09.2025 Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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      Relegation ~ J2 League