Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.47
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
85% (534/630)73% (259/357)
Long passes
50% (30/60)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
78% (162/208)63% (69/110)
Crosses
33% (6/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.87
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1310
Tackles
44% (4/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
2026
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.470.98
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. , Yoshida Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
  • 61', Marcos Guilherme , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 61', Endo K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 67', Yumiba M. , Uno Z. ,
  • 67', Kozuka K. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 73', Takahashi T. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Sato K. , Tawaratsumida K. (A),
  • 84', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 84', Inui T. , Yajima S. ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 87', Morishige M. , Oka T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.6%
Draw
28.4%
Tokyo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.5% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.72)
    3.32
    (3.39)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    5.9%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Shimizu (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Shimizu (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tokyo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Tokyo
    23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1
    15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers7601013:419
    2FC Tokyo7330113:715
    3Machida6311111:1112
    4Urawa Reds7302210:811
    5Verdy7310311:1111
    6Kawasaki Frontale6220212:810
    7Mito711329:148
    8Yokohama F. Marinos720057:126
    9Kashiwa Reysol711059:135
    10Chiba710245:125


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Gamba Osaka7231112:1013
    2Vissel Kobe6311111:612
    3Kyoto7311210:812
    4Nagoya Grampus7311211:1012
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima6310211:711
    6Okayama721319:1011
    7Shimizu S-Pulse712318:910
    8Cerezo Osaka721137:79
    9V-Varen Nagasaki730049:119
    10Avispa Fukuoka701155:153

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)