Result
18/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Club América
37.4% | Draw
28.1% | Toluca
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Club América - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.37) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
7.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, América won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Toluca?
Club América has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Club América?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club América - Toluca were as follows:
08.11.2025
Toluca
-
Club América
2:0
20.07.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
1:3
25.05.2025
Toluca
-
Club América
2:0
22.05.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
0:0
01.03.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
3:0
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
