Result
3:3
22/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Guerrero I. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 2, Saldivar M. ⚽,
- 21', Martinez K. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 42', Vilamala B. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 3, Saldivar M. ⚽,
- 45+5', Brewster J. ↓, Okeke C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez K. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
- 52', Martinez K. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
- 53', 🟨,
- 53', Vilamala B. 🟨,
- 57', Saldivar M. 🟨,
- 58', Saldivar M. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 3, van de Sanden S. ⚽,
- 81', Robert F. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
20% | Draw
22.3% | Club America
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Club America has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club America than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Toluca - Club America Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.47 ↓
(5.35) |
4.16 ↓
(4.2) |
1.64 ↑
(1.51) |
7.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - Club America?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Toluca (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +1.25 - Toluca (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +1 - Toluca (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toluca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- America may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, America is a strong favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Club America?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club America won against Toluca?
Club America has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Club America were as follows:
18.04.2025
Toluca
-
Club America
4:3
29.07.2024
Club America
-
Toluca
2:2
04.03.2024
Toluca
-
Club America
3:0
05.08.2023
Club America
-
Toluca
4:1
12.05.2023
Toluca
-
Club America
1:4
Latest results of Club America
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 51:7 | 44 | 35 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monterrey W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 23 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
