Result
2:0
02/09/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Martinez S. (Hon)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Imagen Television |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/476) | 82% (303/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/476) | 82% (303/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 48% (13/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (99/125) | 66% (61/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.85 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Gandolfi J. 🟨,
- 26', Martinez I. 🟨,
- 39', Bruno Mendez 🟨,
- 39', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Pereira F. ⚽,
- 44', Castro N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Cortizo J. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 53', Vegas S. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 62', Vega A. ↓, Diaz Price J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Vinas F. ⚽, Diaz Price J. (A),
- 73', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 73', Echeverria R. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
- 73', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
- 75', Romana J. 🟨,
- 75', Romana J. 🟨,
- 75', Colula B. 🟨,
- 80', Arcila D. 🟨,
- 82', Guevara J. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
- 84', Castro N. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 84', Gallardo J. ↓, Arce F. ↑,
- 84', Helinho ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 89', Bruno Mendez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
56.9% | Draw
23.8% | Club León
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club León could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2.05) |
3.97 ↑
(3.68) |
4.83 ↑
(3.34) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toluca - Club León?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- León may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Toluca is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:38. (average 2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Club León?
Toluca has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Toluca?
Club León has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Club León were as follows:
25.04.2026
Toluca
-
Club León
4:1
04.10.2025
Club León
-
Toluca
2:4
08.02.2025
Club León
-
Toluca
3:3
02.11.2024
Toluca
-
Club León
2:2
03.02.2024
Toluca
-
Club León
4:1
Latest results of Club León
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca | Austin FC | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Club Leon | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Club America | Columbus Crew | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Monterrey | Chicago Fire | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca | Club Leon | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Club America | Monterrey | 2 : 3 |
Final3rd place| 2 | Club Leon | Club America | 1 : 0 |
