Result
3:0
27/02/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramos M. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
- 60', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 60', Valadez N. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez L. ↓, Myvett J. ↑,
- 62', Navarro Flores A. A. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Abam M. ⚽,
- 72', Guatemala D. ↓, Campa M. ↑,
- 72', Abam M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
- 74', Hernandez Ponce A. G. 🟨,
- 78', Veloz A. 🟨,
- 79', Vazquez S. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 83', Veloz A. ↓, Aceves M. ↑,
- 83', Huerta A. ↓, Barranco Q. ↑,
- 85', Campa M. 🟨,
- 86', van de Sanden S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
76.6% | Draw
14.1% | Necaxa
9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-32.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.37) |
6.57 ↑
(5.22) |
9.96 ↑
(5.54) |
7.8%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toluca won 4.
- Toluca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Necaxa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Toluca is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Toluca won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Necaxa?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Toluca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Necaxa were as follows:
27.09.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
1:4
05.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Toluca
0:0
28.08.2023
Toluca
-
Necaxa
2:0
02.04.2023
Necaxa
-
Toluca
1:4
19.09.2022
Toluca
-
Necaxa
2:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 10 |
| 2 | Club America W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 7 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Monterrey W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlas W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Juarez W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Necaxa W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Club Tijuana W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:19 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
