Result
4:7
27/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.39% (4/23) | 22.58% (7/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (24/30) | 82.61% (19/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (0/0) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 67.31 | 32.69 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 3)
- 07:44, 1 - 0, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
- 09:29, 1 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), McLeod R. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
- 10:49, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
- 12:14, Luukkonen U. ↓, Ellis C. ↑,
- 12:27, Lorentz S. (2 min),
- 13:16, 2 - 2, Doan J. (G), Dahlin R. (A),
- 18:05, 2 - 3, Thompson T. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 11:17, 3 - 3, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A), Domi M. (A2)
- 18:17, 3 - 4, Dahlin R. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:15, 3 - 5, Tuch A. (G), Thompson T. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
- 06:53, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 11:33, 3 - 6, Quinn J. (G), Dahlin R. (A),
- 14:59, 4 - 6, Domi M. (G), Matthews A. (A), McMann B. (A2)
- 19:17, 4 - 7, Dahlin R. (G),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.7% | Draw
22.2% | Buffalo Sabres
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-4%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.25) |
4.29 ↑
(4.14) |
2.55 ↓
(2.69) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
- Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buffalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Buffalo: Bryson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Dunne J.
(Injury)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Buffalo: Norris J.
(Ribs Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 72:69. (average 3.6:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 3.5:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Buffalo Sabres?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buffalo Sabres won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Buffalo Sabres has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
25.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Buffalo Sabres
4:3
24.10.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:3
15.04.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
0:4
20.12.2024
Buffalo Sabres
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:6
15.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Buffalo Sabres
5:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 60 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 230:149 | 91 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 61 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 212:165 | 85 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 62 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 209:180 | 82 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 62 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 205:197 | 72 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 24 | 205:212 | 71 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 62 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 196:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 220:210 | 68 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 61 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 173:179 | 67 |
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 59 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 186:207 | 64 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 185:213 | 64 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Kings | 60 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 155:179 | 62 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 61 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 175:187 | 60 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 61 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 163:195 | 56 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 159:210 | 55 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 61 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 150:185 | 55 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 61 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 157:230 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 61 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 214:175 | 84 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 211:162 | 80 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 214:184 | 80 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 62 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 185:187 | 77 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 60 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 213:200 | 75 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 61 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 205:180 | 75 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 62 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 22 | 183:177 | 75 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 61 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 205:194 | 73 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 61 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 196:193 | 72 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 61 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 205:194 | 69 |
| 11 | Washington Capitals | 63 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 199:189 | 69 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Flyers | 61 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 177:191 | 67 |
| 13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 200:221 | 65 |
| 14 | New Jersey Devils | 62 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 160:186 | 64 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 62 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 188:209 | 63 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 61 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 166:192 | 56 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
