Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:2 penalties
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3218
Shots off target
2510
Shooting PCT
6.25% (2/32)11.11% (2/18)
Blocked shots
228
Goalkeeper Saves
1630
Saves PCT
88.89% (16/18)93.75% (30/32)
Penalties
68
PIM
1519
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
12.5% (1/8)0% (0/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (6/6)87.5% (7/8)
Hits
2137
Faceoffs Won
2428
Faceoffs %
46.1553.85
Giveaways
1522
Takeaways
56
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 02:01, 1 - 0, Power O. (G), Benson Z. (A), Carrick S. (A2)
  • 02:34, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
  • 06:09, 1 - 1, Joshua D. (G), Robertson N. (A),
  • 08:12, Schenn L. (5 min),
  • 08:12, Joshua D. (5 min),
  • 10:52, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 15:22, Schenn L. (2 min),
  • 15:22, Ostlund N. (2 min),
  • 15:22, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:53, 1 - 2, Domi M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 06:42, Dahlin R. (2 min),
  • 09:51, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
  • 11:21, 2 - 2, Quinn J. (G), Ostlund N. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 06:31, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 19:11, Byram B. (2 min),
  • 19:11, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Thompson T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Quinn J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Cowan E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Tuch A. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Buffalo Sabres
56%		Draw
20.6%		Toronto Maple Leafs
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 21.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 21.4% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buffalo Sabres's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buffalo Sabres that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.93)    		 4.57 ↑
    (4.34)    		 4.01 ↑
    (3.21)    		 5.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Buffalo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, OT - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Buffalo Sabres will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
    • Buffalo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Buffalo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Buffalo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There are questionable in Buffalo: Ellis C. (Injury) Kozak T. (Injury) Pearson T. (Injury) Samuelsson M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 75:74. (average 3.8:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 3.8:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:7
    25.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:3
    24.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3
    15.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:4
    20.12.2024 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:6
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    12.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Washington Capitals 1:2 ✺
    10.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - San Jose Sharks 6:3 ✺
    08.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:7 ✺
    07.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Nashville Predators 3:2 ✺
    05.03.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 1:5 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    12.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Anaheim Ducks 6:4 ✺
    10.03.2026 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:1 ✺
    07.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5 ✺
    05.03.2026 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:2 ✺
    04.03.2026 New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 704161013263:177104
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7133101117244:19697
    3Minnesota Wild7225151220236:20892
    4Anaheim Ducks712416427240:24584
    5Utah Mammoth72289629225:20380
    6Edmonton Oilers72278928250:24679
    7Vegas Golden Knights722481426225:22578
    8Nashville Predators71259928215:23577
    9Los Angeles Kings7118101825189:21674
    10Seattle Kraken702561029200:21872
    11Winnipeg Jets712461229203:22072
    12San Jose Sharks692012631211:24970
    13St. Louis Blues702631130184:22569
    14Calgary Flames71237734180:21967
    15Chicago Blackhawks712071331187:22867
    16Vancouver Canucks70147841182:26250


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning70359521257:19593
    4Montreal Canadiens7027121021249:23088
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Columbus Blue Jackets7127111122231:21787
    7Pittsburgh Penguins712961620243:22586
    8Ottawa Senators71326924239:21685
    9New York Islanders722614527209:20685
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7021131224204:21480
    12Washington Capitals72305928220:21179
    13Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    14New Jersey Devils702412232193:21374
    15Florida Panthers70278332211:23373
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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