Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/375) | 83% (395/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/375) | 83% (395/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 65% (53/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (62/102) | 72% (104/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Iljins K. ⚽,
- 20', Joksts H. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Patijcuks D. ⚽,
- 36', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joksts H. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 46', Kacanovs G. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
- 46', Sirbu D. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 46', Bekima B. ↓, Dusalijevs N. ↑,
- 50', Patijcuks D. 🟨,
- 64', Putrans D. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 2, Putrans D. ⚽, Kholod A. (A),
- 73', Lausic M. ↓, Purtic S. ↑,
- 73', Traore A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
- 73', Samba T. ↓, Diaw M. ↑,
- 77', Melnis B. 🟨,
- 80', Valmiers D. 🟨,
- 85', Valmiers D. ↓, Rogovs D. ↑,
- 85', Leidsman K. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Gueye D. ⚽, Melnis B. (A),
- 90+2', Patijcuks D. ↓, Oloko E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
22% | Draw
23% | Liepāja
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Tukums 2000 - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↑
(4.1) |
3.98 ↑
(3.8) |
1.66 ↑
(1.58) |
9.4%
(14%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 73.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.
- Tukums 2000 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Liepāja is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Liepāja is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Liepāja?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Tukums 2000?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Liepāja were as follows:
06.05.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:2
12.03.2025
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
01.09.2024
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
3:1
20.06.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:1
02.05.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
0:0
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
