Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 0.40 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (472/559) | 73% (257/352) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 0.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.03 | 0.20 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
84% (472/559) | 73% (257/352) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (38/66) | 41% (30/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (119/157) | 54% (63/116) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (5/25) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 40% (4/10) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.20 | 2.03 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.80 | -1.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽, Lausic M. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Melnis B. (A),
- 39', Nagasawa M. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Kirss R. ⚽, Valmiers D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
- 60', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
- 64', Valmiers D. 🟨,
- 66', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 66', Oloko E. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 69', Kholod A. 🟨,
- 74', Kirss R. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 74', Valmiers D. ↓, Semesko M. ↑,
- 76', Diaw M. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 76', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Lausic M. ⚽, Patijcuks D. (A),
- 82', Toba J. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 88', Korobenko A. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Patijcuks D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Liepāja 74.1% | Draw 17% | Tukums 2000 8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Liepāja - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.25 ↓ (1.34) |
5.72 ↑ (4.4) |
11.31 ↑ (6.7) |
6.3% (12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Tukums 2000?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2.
- Liepāja is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tukums 2000 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Liepāja is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Tukums 2000?
Liepāja has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Liepāja?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
25.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
1:3
06.05.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:2
12.03.2025
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
01.09.2024
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
3:1
20.06.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
2 | RFS | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 84:33 | 51 | 75 |
3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
4 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 46 |
5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
6 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 34 |
7 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
8 | Grobina | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
9 | Super Nova | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 27 |
10 | Metta | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 31:68 | -37 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga