Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (472/559) | 73% (257/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (472/559) | 73% (257/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (119/157) | 54% (63/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -1.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽, Lausic M. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Melnis B. (A),
- 39', Nagasawa M. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Kirss R. ⚽, Valmiers D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
- 60', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
- 64', Valmiers D. 🟨,
- 66', Melnis B. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 66', Oloko E. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 69', Kholod A. 🟨,
- 74', Kirss R. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 74', Valmiers D. ↓, Semesko M. ↑,
- 76', Diaw M. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 76', Gueye D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Lausic M. ⚽, Patijcuks D. (A),
- 82', Toba J. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 88', Korobenko A. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Patijcuks D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
74.1% | Draw
17% | Tukums 2000
8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Liepāja - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.34) |
5.5 ↑
(4.4) |
10.54 ↑
(6.7) |
6.7%
(12.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Tukums 2000?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2.
- Liepāja is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tukums 2000 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Liepāja is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Tukums 2000?
Liepāja has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Liepāja?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
25.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
1:3
06.05.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:2
12.03.2025
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
01.09.2024
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
3:1
20.06.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:1
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
