Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (168/251) | 81% (396/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (168/251) | 81% (396/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 47% (39/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/110) | 64% (56/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Stojanovic S. 🟨,
- 18', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 19', Pierre D. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
- 35', Daroma F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ortiz A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 64', Stojanovic S. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 64', Stauffer L. ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
- 64', Toure A. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 68', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 68', Moreno A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 68', Cabrera A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
- 69', Waite J. 🟨,
- 75', Ruiz R. ↓, Gabriel Torres ↑,
- 77', Batista L. 🟨,
- 81', Colli G. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 82', Carter D. 🟨,
- 82', Diaz M. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Elmedkhar K. ⚽, Pierre D. (A),
Chances of winning
Tulsa
37.9% | Draw
26.5% | El Paso Locomotive
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Paso Locomotive's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(1.98) |
3.48 ↑
(3.33) |
2.59 ↓
(3.6) |
8.4%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Recent form of Tulsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Paso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against El Paso Locomotive?
Tulsa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Tulsa?
El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
05.10.2024
Tulsa
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
27.04.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Tulsa
0:1
31.03.2023
Tulsa
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
