Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.62
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
67% (168/251)81% (396/488)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.99
Total shots
199
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1521
Passes
67% (168/251)81% (396/488)
Long passes
36% (21/59)47% (39/83)
Passes in final third
57% (63/110)64% (56/87)
Crosses
25% (6/24)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.27
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
2115
Tackles
57% (13/23)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5559
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.991.27
Goals prevented
-0.010.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Stojanovic S. 🟨,
  • 18', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 19', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 35', Daroma F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ortiz A. , Romero B. ,
  • 64', Stojanovic S. , Lukic S. ,
  • 64', Stauffer L. , Cissoko A. ,
  • 64', Toure A. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 68', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 68', Moreno A. , Lopez F. ,
  • 68', Cabrera A. , Carter D. ,
  • 69', Waite J. 🟨,
  • 75', Ruiz R. , Gabriel Torres ,
  • 77', Batista L. 🟨,
  • 81', Colli G. , Webber J. ,
  • 82', Carter D. 🟨,
  • 82', Diaz M. , Quezada A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Elmedkhar K. , Pierre D. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
37.9%
Draw
26.5%
El Paso Locomotive
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.7% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27.7% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.
  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Paso Locomotive's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.98)
    3.48
    (3.33)
    2.59
    (3.6)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Recent form of Tulsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Paso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    27.04.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa 0:1
    31.03.2023 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 2:2
    Latest results of Tulsa
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tulsa - Oakland Roots 1:2
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )