Result
2:3
06/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (285/382) | 61% (164/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (285/382) | 61% (164/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/78) | 38% (28/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (74/103) | 50% (68/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 54% (7/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Dalou A. ⚽,
- 24', St.Clair H. 🟨,
- 27', Dalou A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, Klein J. ⚽, Ivanovic L. (A),
- 59', 2 - 1, Ivanovic L. ⚽, Guediri S. (A),
- 63', St.Clair H. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
- 63', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 63', Colli G. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 64', Fonguck W. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Lukic S. ⚽, Damm O. (A),
- 74', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 75', Calheira T. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 76', Ivanovic L. ↓, Paul I. ↑,
- 76', Klein J. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 80', Amann T. 🟨,
- 83', Paul I. 🟨,
- 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 3, Rogers A. (Pen),
- 90', Gnaulati X. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 90+6', Lukic S. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 90+6', Penaranda J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
27.6% | Draw
27.8% | Tulsa
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Monterey Bay - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(2.98) |
3.34 ↑
(3.23) |
2.08 ↓
(2.3) |
7.9%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tulsa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tulsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
- Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Tulsa?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Monterey Bay?
Tulsa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Tulsa were as follows:
16.07.2025
Tulsa
-
Monterey Bay
2:1
26.10.2024
Tulsa
-
Monterey Bay
2:1
13.07.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Tulsa
0:0
31.05.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Tulsa
0:0
12.10.2022
Tulsa
-
Monterey Bay
2:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
