Monterey Bay vs Tulsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
2:3
06/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.14
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
75% (285/382)61% (164/267)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.93
Total shots
118
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
2423
Passes
75% (285/382)61% (164/267)
Long passes
38% (30/78)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
72% (74/103)50% (68/135)
Crosses
30% (7/23)54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.52
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
2324
Tackles
76% (13/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
7155
Clearances
2825
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.931.05
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Dalou A. ⚽,
  • 24', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 27', Dalou A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Klein J. ⚽, Ivanovic L. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 1, Ivanovic L. ⚽, Guediri S. (A),
  • 63', St.Clair H. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
  • 63', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
  • 63', Colli G. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
  • 64', Fonguck W. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Lukic S. ⚽, Damm O. (A),
  • 74', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 75', Calheira T. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
  • 76', Ivanovic L. ↓, Paul I. ↑,
  • 76', Klein J. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
  • 80', Amann T. 🟨,
  • 83', Paul I. 🟨,
  • 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Rogers A. (Pen),
  • 90', Gnaulati X. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Lukic S. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Penaranda J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
27.6%		Draw
27.8%		Tulsa
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 28.7% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 27.3% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
    •

    Monterey Bay - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.36 ↑
    (2.98)    		 3.34 ↑
    (3.23)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.3)    		 7.9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Tulsa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tulsa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tulsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Tulsa were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:1
    26.10.2024 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:1
    13.07.2024 Monterey Bay - Tulsa 0:0
    31.05.2023 Monterey Bay - Tulsa 0:0
    12.10.2022 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:0
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    26.07.2025 AV Alta - Monterey Bay 2:1
    16.07.2025 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺
    11.07.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 2:1
    05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0
    21.06.2025 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Tulsa
    01.08.2025 Tulsa - Loudoun United 3:2
    26.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    19.07.2025 Louisville City - Tulsa 1:1
    16.07.2025 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 4:3 ✺
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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