Tusker vs Nairobi United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Otiende K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Tusker
47%
Draw
32.6%
Nairobi United
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 33.3% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 32.2% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Tusker - Nairobi United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.16)
    2.78
    (2.75)
    4.43
    (3.76)
    10.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 13).
    • Tusker has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nairobi United is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tusker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tusker might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Tusker
    14.12.2025 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:2
    05.12.2025 Tusker - Ulinzi Stars 1:0
    29.11.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 0:1
    22.11.2025 Gor Mahia - Tusker 1:0
    16.11.2025 Tusker - Police FC 1:2
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia26176344:182657
    2Leopards27167436:181855
    3Kakamega Homeboyz271210542:281446
    4Police FC261110523:17643
    5Shabana27127831:30143
    6KCB27117927:27040
    7Nairobi United27109834:27739
    8Muranga27108933:30338
    9Bandari27814521:18338
    10Tusker261141123:26-337
    11Mara Sugar27713725:25034
    12Posta Rangers277101023:32-931
    13Mathare Utd26861222:27-530
    14Kariobangi Sharks275111118:29-1126
    15Ulinzi Stars27671424:31-725
    16APS Bomet275101225:33-825
    17Bidco United274101316:30-1422
    18Sofapaka27371715:36-2116

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League