Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Oalo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Tusker
33.7% | Draw
36.5% | Ulinzi Stars
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tusker's form might have worsened.Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tusker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Tusker - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.12) |
2.5 ↓
(2.9) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
9.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tusker - Ulinzi Stars?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Tusker has had a series of away games.
- Tusker might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Ulinzi Stars?
Tusker has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Tusker?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
25.01.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Tusker
0:1
23.10.2024
Tusker
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
21.04.2024
Ulinzi Stars
-
Tusker
0:1
01.11.2023
Tusker
-
Ulinzi Stars
0:1
20.05.2023
Tusker
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:0
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
