Ulsan HD vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
0:1
17/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.34
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
84% (273/324)92% (658/718)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.94
Total shots
914
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
29
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
42
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
27
Passes
84% (273/324)92% (658/718)
Long passes
59% (19/32)71% (35/49)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)80% (94/117)
Crosses
15% (3/20)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.77
Throw-ins
716
Fouls
72
Tackles
75% (15/20)71% (15/21)
Duels won
3341
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.940.28
Goals prevented
-0.060.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽, Ribeiro L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Bojanic D. 🟨,
  • 64', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
  • 65', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
  • 73', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
  • 73', Bojanic D. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
  • 77', Rayners I. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
  • 77', Zwane T. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
  • 80', Seo Myung-Guan ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
  • 85', Ribeiro L. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
  • 85', Cupido K. ↓, Mvala M. ↑,
  • 86', Mokoena T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
28.8%		Draw
30.3%		Mamelodi Sundowns
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 29.3% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 30.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.28 ↑
    (2.47)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.24)    		 2.38 ↓
    (2.94)    		 4.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 37.8% – 70.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 3 - 30%). Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.25 - Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Ulsan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
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    14.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Incheon United 3:0
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    01.06.2025 Pyramids - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:1 ✺
    24.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Pyramids 1:1 ✺
    18.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi 2:0
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    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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