Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 22
- Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/316) | 83% (350/420) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/316) | 83% (350/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/71) | 68% (80/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Celik B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Babacan A. ↓, Bardhi J. ↑,
- 60', Hoti E. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
- 63', Bardhi J. 🟨,
- 63', Djokanovic A. 🟨,
- 71', Abdulkadir A. ↓, Guler E. ↑,
- 73', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 74', Ekincier B. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
- 81', Aksu C. B. ↓, Tog B. ↑,
- 85', Yildiz A. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
- 85', Matur O. ↓, Alkan V. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Benny ⚽, Goksu S. (A),
- 90+1', Djokanovic A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
7% | Draw
13.1% | Umraniyespor
79.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umraniyespor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umraniyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
13.13 ↑
(6.34) |
7.11 ↑
(5.06) |
1.15 ↓
(1.39) |
8.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +2.25 - Umraniyespor (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +2 - Hatayspor (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 40%). Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 1.
- Hatayspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Umraniyespor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Yilmaz B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Yildiz A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Umraniyespor?
Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Hatayspor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
24.08.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Hatayspor
1:1
03.01.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Hatayspor
2:2
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
