Augsburg vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
15/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTV5 Monde Asia
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Cignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.561.71
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
53
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
33
Passes
79% (324/409)80% (360/452)
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.561.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.520.36
Total shots
916
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
06
Shots inside the box
613
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
189
Passes
79% (324/409)80% (360/452)
Long passes
49% (26/53)45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
59% (57/97)54% (61/114)
Crosses
9% (2/22)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.29
Throw ins
1528
Fouls
918
Tackles
67% (6/9)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
3329
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.360.52
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+6', 1 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Jakic K. 🟨,
  • 63', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
  • 64', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
  • 64', Burke O. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
  • 64', Ansah I. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 75', Giannoulis D. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
  • 75', Kade A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
  • 82', Khedira R. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 82', Leite D. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
  • 83', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
  • 83', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
  • 89', Kohn D. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Ljubicic M. ⚽, Ilic A. (A),

Chances of winning


Augsburg
36%		Draw
30.1%		Union Berlin
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 29.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 30.2% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
    •

    Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.66 ↑
    (2.41)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.25)    		 2.83 ↓
    (3.04)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 24 - 49%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35% – 63%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Augsburg (1.85) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Augsburg (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Union Berlin (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Union Berlin (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
    • Recent form of Augsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union Berlin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Union Berlin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Knock) Rothe T. (Injury) Skarke T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:2
    15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2
    12.04.2024 Augsburg - Union Berlin 2:0
    25.11.2023 Union Berlin - Augsburg 1:1
    06.05.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Augsburg
    11.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg 4:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Augsburg - Werder Bremen 0:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin 1:2
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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