Result
1:1
15/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TV5 Monde Asia |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 80% (360/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 80% (360/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 45% (30/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (57/97) | 54% (61/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Jakic K. 🟨,
- 63', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
- 64', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 64', Burke O. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
- 64', Ansah I. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
- 75', Giannoulis D. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
- 75', Kade A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
- 82', Khedira R. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
- 82', Leite D. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
- 83', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
- 83', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
- 89', Kohn D. 🟥,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Ljubicic M. ⚽, Ilic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Augsburg 36% | Draw 30.1% | Union Berlin 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.66 ↑ (2.41) |
3.17 ↓ (3.25) |
2.83 ↓ (3.04) |
4.6% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 24 - 49%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35% – 63%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Augsburg (1.85) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Augsburg (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Union Berlin (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Union Berlin (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
- Recent form of Augsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Union Berlin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Union Berlin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
Matsima C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D.
(Knock)
Rothe T.
(Injury)
Skarke T.
(Injury)
Skov R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Union Berlin?
Augsburg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Augsburg?
Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
17.05.2025
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
1:2
15.01.2025
Union Berlin
-
Augsburg
0:2
12.04.2024
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
2:0
25.11.2023
Union Berlin
-
Augsburg
1:1
06.05.2023
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
1:0
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )