Augsburg vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Augsburg - Union Berlin
Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.97
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
56
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Long passes
65% (33/51)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
70% (105/150)53% (39/73)
Crosses
32% (6/19)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.29
Throw-ins
3425
Fouls
65
Tackles
77% (10/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
1932
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.971.25
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Tietz P. ⚽, Matsima C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Wolf M. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
  • 59', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
  • 61', Juranovic J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
  • 61', Preu D. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
  • 61', Schafer A. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽,
  • 71', Komur M. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
  • 80', Onyeka F. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
  • 80', Zesiger C. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
  • 80', Skarke T. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
  • 88', Hollerbach B. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Ilic A. ⚽, Khedira R. (A),

Chances of winning


Augsburg
49.4%		Draw
26.1%		Union Berlin
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
    •

    Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↓
    (2.2)    		 3.7 ↑
    (3.37)    		 3.92 ↑
    (3.43)    		 3.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
    • Augsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Augsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Berisha M. (Injury) Essende S. (Red Card) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Leite D. (Neck Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Kucuksahin M. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2
    12.04.2024 Augsburg - Union Berlin 2:0
    25.11.2023 Union Berlin - Augsburg 1:1
    06.05.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    07.01.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    11.05.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 4:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Bochum - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 4:4 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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