Augsburg vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Augsburg - Union Berlin
Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.97
Total shots
196
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
56
Passes
85% (516/604)74% (262/355)
Long passes
65% (33/51)31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
70% (105/150)53% (39/73)
Crosses
32% (6/19)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.29
Throw-ins
3425
Fouls
65
Tackles
77% (10/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
1932
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.971.25
Goals prevented
-0.03-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Tietz P. , Matsima C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Wolf M. , Gumny R. ,
  • 59', Claude-Maurice A. , Maier A. ,
  • 61', Juranovic J. , Trimmel C. ,
  • 61', Preu D. , Ilic A. ,
  • 61', Schafer A. , Tousart L. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ,
  • 71', Komur M. , Mounie S. ,
  • 80', Onyeka F. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 80', Zesiger C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 80', Skarke T. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 88', Hollerbach B. , Benes L. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Ilic A. , Khedira R. (A),

Chances of winning


Augsburg
49.4%
Draw
26.1%
Union Berlin
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.3%

Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(2.2)
3.7
(3.37)
3.92
(3.43)
3.5%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
    • Augsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Augsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Berisha M. (Injury) Essende S. (Red Card) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Leite D. (Neck Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Kucuksahin M. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2
    12.04.2024 Augsburg - Union Berlin 2:0
    25.11.2023 Union Berlin - Augsburg 1:1
    06.05.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:0
    07.01.2023 Augsburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    11.05.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 4:0
    04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich1091035:62928
    2RB Leipzig1071220:13722
    3Dortmund1063116:7921
    4Stuttgart1070317:12521
    5Bayer Leverkusen1062224:141020
    6Hoffenheim1061321:16519
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1052323:19417
    8Werder Bremen1043315:18-315
    9FC Koln1042417:15214
    10Freiburg1034313:14-113
    11Union Berlin1033413:17-412
    12B. Monchengladbach1023513:19-69
    13Hamburger SV102359:16-79
    14Wolfsburg1022612:18-68
    15Augsburg1021714:24-107
    16St. Pauli102179:20-117
    17Mainz1012710:18-85
    18Heidenheim101278:23-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga