Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 34
- Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 10, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (516/604) | 74% (262/355) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (516/604) | 74% (262/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (105/150) | 53% (39/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Tietz P. ⚽, Matsima C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Wolf M. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 59', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
- 61', Juranovic J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
- 61', Preu D. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
- 61', Schafer A. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽,
- 71', Komur M. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 80', Onyeka F. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 80', Zesiger C. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
- 80', Skarke T. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
- 88', Hollerbach B. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Ilic A. ⚽, Khedira R. (A),
Chances of winning
Augsburg
49.4% | Draw
26.1% | Union Berlin
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Augsburg - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.2) |
3.7 ↑
(3.37) |
3.92 ↑
(3.43) |
3.5%
(4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
- Augsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Augsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Berisha M.
(Injury)
Essende S.
(Red Card)
Kabadayi Y.
(Knee Injury)
Oxford R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong
(Ankle Injury)
Kemlein A.
(Foot Injury)
Leite D.
(Neck Injury)
Roussillon J.
(Injury)
Skov R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Kucuksahin M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Union Berlin?
Augsburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Augsburg?
Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Union Berlin were as follows:
15.01.2025
Union Berlin
-
Augsburg
0:2
12.04.2024
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
2:0
25.11.2023
Union Berlin
-
Augsburg
1:1
06.05.2023
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
1:0
07.01.2023
Augsburg
-
Union Berlin
0:1
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
