Millonarios vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Millonarios - Unión Magdalena
Result
1:2
20/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.46
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (367/435)57% (109/191)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.90
Total shots
223
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
306
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
910
Passes
84% (367/435)57% (109/191)
Long passes
55% (26/47)24% (17/70)
Passes in final third
69% (103/149)36% (20/55)
Crosses
26% (8/31)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.56
Throw-ins
3219
Fouls
109
Tackles
56% (5/9)75% (3/4)
Duels won
2621
Clearances
938
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.901.07
Goals prevented
-1.100.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Arias J. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Sarmiento J. , Marquez R. (A),
  • 36', Bruno Savio 🟨,
  • 44', Marimon L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ortiz D. 🟥,
  • 45+10', Tello J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Marimon L. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 46', Bruno Savio , Giordana S. ,
  • 46', Giraldo J. , Ramos N. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Sarmiento J. , Marquez R. (A),
  • 53', Giraldo N. , Banguero D. ,
  • 53', Sarabia C. , Cuero B. ,
  • 62', Lerma J. , Lastre E. ,
  • 62', Marquez R. , Martinez M. ,
  • 74', Mercado J. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 74', Mattalia J. 🟨,
  • 80', Vargas J. 🟨,
  • 85', Hurtado J. , Mosquera S. ,
  • 85', Urrego Hector 🟨,
  • 88', Sarmiento J. , Congo J. ,
  • 90+2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cantillo F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2jvxu3h7

Chances of winning


Millonarios
64.9%
Draw
23.2%
Unión Magdalena
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 21% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 19.8% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Millonarios - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.36)
    4.02
    (4.45)
    7.91
    (9.05)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Millonarios - Unión Magdalena?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Millonarios is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Unión Magdalena - Millonarios 1:3
    18.10.2023 Millonarios - Unión Magdalena 1:1
    23.04.2023 Unión Magdalena - Millonarios 1:1
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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