Result
1:2
20/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (367/435) | 57% (109/191) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (367/435) | 57% (109/191) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 24% (17/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (103/149) | 36% (20/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
- 36', Bruno Savio 🟨,
- 44', Marimon L. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ortiz D. 🟥,
- 45+10', Tello J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marimon L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 46', Bruno Savio ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 46', Giraldo J. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
- 53', Giraldo N. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 53', Sarabia C. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 62', Lerma J. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
- 62', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 74', Mercado J. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 74', Mattalia J. 🟨,
- 80', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 85', Hurtado J. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 85', Urrego Hector 🟨,
- 88', Sarmiento J. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
- 90+2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2jvxu3h7
Chances of winning
Millonarios
64.9% | Draw
23.2% | Unión Magdalena
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Millonarios - Unión Magdalena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.36) |
4.02 ↓
(4.45) |
7.91 ↓
(9.05) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Unión Magdalena?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Unión Magdalena?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Millonarios?
Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
20.02.2025
Unión Magdalena
-
Millonarios
1:3
18.10.2023
Millonarios
-
Unión Magdalena
1:1
23.04.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Once Caldas | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
