Result
2:2
27/04/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (358/451) | 72% (232/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (358/451) | 72% (232/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 43% (31/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 65% (66/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Monzon F. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Palavecino N. (A),
- 32', Tarragona C. 🟨,
- 34', Monzon F. 🟨,
- 45', Pitton M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Monzon F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Vargas L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Cuello B. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
- 64', Lanzini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 64', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 65', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Colazo A. ⚽, Vargas L. (A),
- 76', Valdes D. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 78', Palavecino N. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
- 86', Mammana E. 🟨,
- 86', Colazo A. 🟨,
- 87', Palacios J. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
- 90', Andrada T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Robertone L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
43% | Draw
30.7% | Unión Santa Fe
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.13) |
3.09 ↑
(3.05) |
3.57 ↓
(3.61) |
5.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Unión (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Vélez is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vélez will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Unión: Aguirre M.
(Inactive)
Estigarribia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Grella S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Unión Santa Fe?
Vélez Sársfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Vélez Sársfield?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
07.12.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
24.07.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Unión Santa Fe
0:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
