Cerro Largo vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ESPN South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.90
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
68% (194/286)83% (378/456)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.20
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
68% (194/286)83% (378/456)
Long passes
29% (17/58)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
40% (32/81)69% (64/93)
Crosses
17% (3/18)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.77
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (12/17)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.201.18
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Palacios B. , Lara J. (A),
  • 27', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Diaz I. , Diaz M. (A),
  • 35', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
  • 40', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
  • 43', Londono A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia A. , Correa L. ,
  • 46', Brasil M. , Di Pippa A. ,
  • 46', Peraza F. , Rossi F. ,
  • 46', Mir M. , Contrera J. ,
  • 46', Assis S. , Otormin L. ,
  • 60', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 61', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 66', Palacios B. , Fajardo J. ,
  • 73', Diaz M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Diaz I. ,
  • 90', Cacciabue J. , Troya R. ,
  • 90+1', Londono A. , Maciel M. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno L. , Clavijo E. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Anasco M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
37.5%
Draw
30.4%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 30.2% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.9% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.65)
    3.07
    (3.1)
    2.93
    (2.71)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Uni Católica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cerro Largo 3:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2