Result
6:2
03/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/414) | 81% (296/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/414) | 81% (296/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (34/67) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (65/94) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | -2.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 15', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Zambrano C. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Canga L. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 39', 3 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 45+2', 4 - 1, Mejia E. ⚽, Moreno L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Uchuari J. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 46', Spina A. L. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 49', Alonso M. 🟨,
- 55', 4 - 2, Zambrano C. ⚽, Almagro A. (A),
- 59', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Quinones A. ↑,
- 62', Rolon C. 🟨,
- 64', Alonso M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 64', Diaz M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 65', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 71', Zambrano C. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 72', Patino D. 🟨,
- 75', Canga L. 🟨,
- 78', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 78', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 78', Londono A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', Cano L. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 85', 5 - 2, Moreno L. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
- 90+4', 6 - 2, Fajardo J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.2% | Draw
28.2% | SD Aucas
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.98) |
3.29 ↓
(3.38) |
3.19 ↓
(3.67) |
8.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against SD Aucas?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
SD Aucas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas were as follows:
15.04.2025
SD Aucas
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:1
06.03.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
1:0
09.11.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
3:2
19.05.2024
SD Aucas
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
17.08.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
SD Aucas
2:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
