Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas
Result
6:2
03/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.04
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
82% (340/414)81% (296/365)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.231.02
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
95
Passes
82% (340/414)81% (296/365)
Long passes
51% (34/67)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)64% (57/89)
Crosses
27% (3/11)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.47
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
59
Tackles
72% (13/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4933
Clearances
129
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.023.23
Goals prevented
-0.98-2.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 15', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Alonso M. , Londono A. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Zambrano C. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Canga L. , Diaz M. (A),
  • 39', 3 - 1, Alonso M. , Londono A. (A),
  • 45+2', 4 - 1, Mejia E. , Moreno L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Uchuari J. , Almagro A. ,
  • 46', Spina A. L. , Mina A. ,
  • 49', Alonso M. 🟨,
  • 55', 4 - 2, Zambrano C. , Almagro A. (A),
  • 59', Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Quinones A. ,
  • 62', Rolon C. 🟨,
  • 64', Alonso M. , Martinez F. ,
  • 64', Diaz M. , Valencia E. ,
  • 65', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
  • 71', Zambrano C. , Patino D. ,
  • 72', Patino D. 🟨,
  • 75', Canga L. 🟨,
  • 78', Anangono G. , Romero Padilla D. A. ,
  • 78', Palacios B. , Fajardo J. ,
  • 78', Londono A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 82', Cano L. , Montenegro B. ,
  • 85', 5 - 2, Moreno L. , Martinez F. (A),
  • 90+4', 6 - 2, Fajardo J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.2%
Draw
28.2%
SD Aucas
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 29.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.98)
    3.29
    (3.38)
    3.19
    (3.67)
    8.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas were as follows:
    15.04.2025 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    06.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 1:0
    09.11.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 3:2
    19.05.2024 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2
    17.08.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 2:2
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    30.07.2025 Ecuagenera - SD Aucas 0:1
    26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1
    14.07.2025 SD Aucas - El Nacional 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )