Result
2:1
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Malaysia | Mola |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.17 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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18 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Passes |
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79% (284/359) | 80% (369/459) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.17 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.63 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
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18 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 12 |
Passes |
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79% (284/359) | 80% (369/459) |
Long passes |
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52% (30/58) | 44% (21/48) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (85/130) | 70% (70/100) |
Crosses |
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15% (4/27) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.73 | 0.94 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 25 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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71% (15/21) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
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55 | 36 |
Clearances |
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17 | 33 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.80 | 0.63 |
Goals prevented |
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0.80 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Assadi L. ⚽, Di Yorio L. (A),
- 33', Aranguiz C. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 34', Patino Martinez J. ↓, Roman Torales F. J. ↑,
- 40', Riveros P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Altamirano J. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 46', Hormazabal F. ↓, Retamal D. ↑,
- 46', Mendieta W. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 46', Riveros P. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
- 55', Assadi L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 62', Cespedes V. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
- 69', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Benitez Cabrera A. J. (A),
- 85', Manzur A. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion 28.4% | Draw 28.6% | Universidad de Chile 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.31 ↑ (2.35) |
3.34 ↑ (3) |
2.27 ↓ (3.1) |
4.1% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.
- Guaraní is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Universidad de Chile is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Universidad de Chile?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Universidad de Chile has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
17.07.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Guaraní Asuncion
5:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal