Ural vs Orenburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Ural - Orenburg
Result
3:3
19/05/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1613
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
43
Free Kicks
1718
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2823
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Fouls
1716
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
8264
Dangerous Attacks
3825

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Vorobyev D. , Marin J. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Begic S. , Kashtanov A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Ghorbani M. , Marin J. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 3, Perez M. , Basic I. (A),
  • 59', Ayupov T. , Schettine G. ,
  • 59', Kashtanov A. , Bicfalvi E. ,
  • 60', 2 - 3, Begic S. , Ishkov I. (A),
  • 64', Mikhailov Y. , Prokhin D. ,
  • 71', Ishkov I. , Ionov A. ,
  • 71', Egorychev A. , Gazinskiy Y. ,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Schettine G. ,
  • 80', Marin J. , Oganesyan S. ,
  • 86', Miskic D. , Vloet R. ,
  • 86', Mansilla B. , Vera L. ,
  • 89', Adamov A. 🟨,
  • 89', Schettine G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Begic S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sysuev N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ural
44.9%
Draw
29.4%
Orenburg
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 27.1% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 25.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ural that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ural - Orenburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.3)
    3.27
    (3.64)
    3.74
    (3.27)
    4%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ural - Orenburg?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural won 2.
    • Recent matches Ural is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Orenburg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Orenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ural will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Ural won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Orenburg were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Orenburg - Ural 0:2
    13.05.2023 Ural - Orenburg 2:1
    Latest results of Ural
    12.05.2024 Fakel - Ural 0:0
    06.05.2024 Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:1
    29.04.2024 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:1
    25.04.2024 Ural - Rostov 0:1
    21.04.2024 Sochi - Ural 2:2
    Latest results of Orenburg
    04.05.2024 Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov 2:1
    29.04.2024 Rostov - Orenburg 2:1
    24.04.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 1:2
    21.04.2024 Zenit - Orenburg 1:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow33008:359
    2Krylya Sovetov32107:257
    3Baltika32107:347
    4Krasnodar32015:236
    5Akron Togliatti31206:245
    6Zenit31205:415
    7CSKA Moscow31203:215
    8Rubin Kazan21104:224
    9Dynamo Moscow31112:204
    10Dynamo Makhachkala31112:204
    11Spartak Moscow31112:4-24
    12Orenburg30213:4-12
    13Akhmat Grozny30031:5-40
    14FK Rostov30032:7-50
    15Pari NN30032:8-60
    16Sochi20020:7-70

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL