Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 6
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (125/217) | 88% (527/600) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (125/217) | 88% (527/600) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/58) | 60% (32/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 73% (123/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 21% (7/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Latkovic A. ⚽, Tavares I. (A),
- 8', 2 - 0, Ivusic I. (Own goal),
- 18', Raci R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Raci R. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 46', Almena I. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 46', Belcar L. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 46', Abdullazada R. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 47', Karacic F. 🟨,
- 61', Sigur N. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
- 61', Sego M. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 62', Latkovic A. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 70', Mamut I. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 71', Krovinovic F. 🟨,
- 73', Karacic F. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 80', Marina M. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
31.1% | Draw
30.8% | Hajduk Split
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varaždin's performance.Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varaždin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varaždin - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.68) |
3.8 ↑
(3.58) |
3.26 ↑
(1.83) |
-15.9%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Hajduk will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Recent performances by Varaždin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hajduk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hajduk is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Jovanov V.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Rebic A.
(Inactive)
Sarlija Z.
(Muscle Injury)
Skelin M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
Maglica F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Hajduk Split?
Varaždin has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Varaždin?
Hajduk Split has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Hajduk Split were as follows:
18.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
08.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:0
03.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
18.08.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
2:1
05.05.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
0:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
