Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium, Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/509) | 70% (172/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/509) | 70% (172/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (115/152) | 48% (38/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Diallo I. 🟥,
- 17', Rusyn N. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 40', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Vuk M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Skaricic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Duvnjak T. ↓, Cuic M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Livaja M. (Pen),
- 56', Cuic M. 🟨,
- 60', Skaricic L. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 74', Borsic A. ↓, Alic E. ↑,
- 76', Sanyang A. 🟨,
- 77', Sego M. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 77', Sanyang A. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
- 90+2', Hrgovic S. ↓, Skelin M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
22.9% | Draw
30.1% | Hajduk Split
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Varaždin - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(3.83) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
2 ↓
(2.05) |
6.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Hajduk will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 2.
- Recent matches Varaždin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Hajduk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Hajduk will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Ba L.
(Yellow Cards)
Barac M.
(Injury)
Dabro M.
(Yellow Cards)
Latkovic A.
(Inactive)
Mazari A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Biuk S.
(Inactive)
Kalinic L.
(Injury)
Lucic I.
(Red Card)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 17:42 (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varaždin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:15 (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Hajduk Split?
Varaždin has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Varaždin?
Hajduk Split has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Hajduk Split were as follows:
08.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:0
03.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
18.08.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
2:1
05.05.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
0:1
27.02.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
5:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
