Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 24
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (159/233) | 82% (374/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 55 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (159/233) | 82% (374/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 67% (113/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 27% (14/51) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Rebic A. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Tavares I. ⚽, Mamic L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Lesjak S. 🟨,
- 59', Latkovic A. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 69', Mamut I. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
- 69', Duvnjak T. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 74', Hodak L. 🟨,
- 78', Hodak L. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 81', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
- 83', Pajaziti A. ↓, Skoko N. ↑,
- 83', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 85', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
- 86', Tavares I. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
24.8% | Draw
29.2% | Hajduk Split
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Varaždin - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(3.25) |
3.2 ↓
(3.23) |
2.02 ↓
(2.15) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hajduk Split will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Inactive)
Maglica F.
(Inactive)
Puncec R.
(Inactive)
Skaricic L.
(Injury)
Skaricic L.
(Yellow Cards)
Vuk M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Durdov B.
(Inactive)
Ivusic I.
(Injury)
Sigur N.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Hajduk Split?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Varaždin?
Hajduk Split has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Hajduk Split were as follows:
29.11.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:1
13.09.2025
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
18.04.2025
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
08.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Varaždin
1:0
03.11.2024
Varaždin
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
