Varzim vs Académica Coimbra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
104
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Montez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Montez A. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 51', Sinisterra J. , Xavier ,
  • 66', Candeias D. , Triana C. ,
  • 66', Cuba , Cascavel ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Farias E. ,
  • 75', Chamito , Pedro Clemente ,
  • 76', Gomes A. , Gunjo J. ,
  • 76', Alves C. 🟨,
  • 85', Derick , Graca H. ,
  • 89', Souza B. , Baixinho M. ,
  • 89', Franca F. , Benchi D. ,
  • 90+6', Benchi D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Varzim
35.1%
Draw
28.3%
Académica Coimbra
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 29.2% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 28.3% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.
  • Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Académica Coimbra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Varzim - Académica Coimbra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (3.25)
    3.24
    (3.13)
    2.5
    (2.14)
    9.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Académica Coimbra were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Académica Coimbra - Varzim 2:3
    30.03.2024 Varzim - Académica Coimbra 0:2
    Latest results of Varzim
    21.02.2026 Varzim - Trofense 2:0
    15.02.2026 Mafra - Varzim 1:0
    07.02.2026 Varzim - Amarante 2:1
    25.01.2026 Marco 09 - Varzim 1:3
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica54019:4512
    2Amarante54017:4312
    3Os Belenenses632111:8311
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B63129:6310
    5Santarem62047:10-36
    6Varzim62046:9-36
    7Trofense61234:7-35
    8Mafra61144:9-54

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )