Varzim vs Fafe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Varzim - Fafe
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Total shots
46
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Boloto 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Rego R. ,
  • 57', Braga V. , Amorim J. ,
  • 58', Castro D. 🟨,
  • 60', Sequeira D. , Chicao ,
  • 60', Freitas R. , Pedro Clemente ,
  • 64', Oliveira R. 🟨,
  • 65', Fonseca T. , Santos J. ,
  • 65', Carlos Daniel , Veiga T. ,
  • 67', Ayiah E. 🟨,
  • 71', Ayiah E. , Benchi D. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Breno ,
  • 75', Breno , Vigario J. ,
  • 76', Castro D. , Picas ,
  • 78', Santos J. 🟨,
  • 80', Pedro Clemente 🟨,
  • 84', Franca F. , Derick ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Varzim
30.8%
Draw
37%
Fafe
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.6% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varzim's form might have worsened.
  • Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Varzim - Fafe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (2.26)
    2.91
    (3.25)
    3.35
    (3.12)
    -7.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Varzim - Fafe?
  • Users Predictions: Varzim will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Varzim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Fafe were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Varzim - Fafe 5:3
    29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    09.11.2024 Fafe - Varzim 2:0
    10.08.2024 Varzim - Fafe 0:2
    03.12.2023 Varzim - Fafe 0:1
    Latest results of Varzim
    12.09.2025 Varzim - Paredes 2:2
    30.08.2025 Trofense - Varzim 5:1
    23.08.2025 Braga B - Varzim 1:0
    16.08.2025 Varzim - São João de Ver 4:0
    10.08.2025 Amarante - Varzim 0:1
    Latest results of Fafe
    21.09.2025 Oriental - Fafe 0:1
    13.09.2025 Trofense - Fafe 5:1
    24.08.2025 Fafe - Marco 09 0:0
    17.08.2025 Paredes - Fafe 1:1
    10.08.2025 Fafe - Sanjoanense 0:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2AD Fafe83329:9012
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4Sanjoanense725010:7311
    5Varzim723210:739
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Paredes71518:718
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    9Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77
    10Amarante71245:10-55


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )