Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Boloto 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Rego R. ⚽,
- 57', Braga V. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
- 58', Castro D. 🟨,
- 60', Sequeira D. ↓, Chicao ↑,
- 60', Freitas R. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
- 64', Oliveira R. 🟨,
- 65', Fonseca T. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 65', Carlos Daniel ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 67', Ayiah E. 🟨,
- 71', Ayiah E. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Breno ⚽,
- 75', Breno ↓, Vigario J. ↑,
- 76', Castro D. ↓, Picas ↑,
- 78', Santos J. 🟨,
- 80', Pedro Clemente 🟨,
- 84', Franca F. ↓, Derick ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim
30.8% | Draw
37% | Fafe
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varzim's form might have worsened.Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Varzim - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.26) |
2.91 ↓
(3.25) |
3.35 ↑
(3.12) |
-7.2%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varzim - Fafe?
Users Predictions:
Varzim will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Varzim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Fafe?
Varzim has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Varzim?
Fafe has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Fafe were as follows:
17.05.2025
Varzim
-
Fafe
5:3
29.03.2025
Fafe
-
Varzim
1:0
09.11.2024
Fafe
-
Varzim
2:0
10.08.2024
Varzim
-
Fafe
0:2
03.12.2023
Varzim
-
Fafe
0:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Amarante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
