Fafe vs Varzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
40
Total shots
96
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Picas , Braga V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Braga V. 🟨,
  • 62', Graca H. , Santos A. ,
  • 62', Sequeira D. , Rebelo M. ,
  • 68', Braga V. , Davis SIlva ,
  • 70', Santos J. 🟨,
  • 74', Santos J. , Ka ,
  • 74', Carlos Daniel , Pinto G. ,
  • 75', Teixeira L. 🟨,
  • 75', Boloto , Benchi D. ,
  • 76', Ze Manuel , Pedro Clemente ,
  • 82', Pimenta G. , Teixeira G. ,
  • 82', Picas , Ze Oliveira ,
  • 90+3', Pinto G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fafe
40.9%
Draw
29.4%
Varzim
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 30.3% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 30.4% 25.7%

Fafe - Varzim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.23
(2.06)
3.11
(3)
3.08
(3.54)
9.4%
(10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
  • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 3.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Varzim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Fafe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Varzim were as follows:
28.09.2025 Varzim - Fafe 1:1
17.05.2025 Varzim - Fafe 5:3
29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
09.11.2024 Fafe - Varzim 2:0
10.08.2024 Varzim - Fafe 0:2
Latest results of Fafe
27.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Fafe 0:1
21.12.2025 Amarante - Fafe 3:2
14.12.2025 Fafe - Trofense 1:2
07.12.2025 Marco 09 - Fafe 1:1
29.11.2025 Fafe - Paredes 2:1
Latest results of Varzim
20.12.2025 Varzim - Trofense 0:1
13.12.2025 Paredes - Varzim 0:0
07.12.2025 Varzim - Braga B 3:1
29.11.2025 São João de Ver - Varzim 1:1
09.11.2025 Varzim - Amarante 0:0
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Amarante ✔ 1784518:16228
2Trofense1776422:14827
3Vitoria Guimaraes B1775517:14326
4Varzim1767423:16725
5Paredes1759320:11924
6Braga B1766514:15-124
7AD Fafe1765621:19223
8AD Marco 09 ✔ 1747614:19-519
9Sao Joao Ver ✔ 1728710:24-1414
10Sanjoanense ✔ 1727818:29-1113


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses ✔ 17122326:141238
2Mafra ✔ 1787226:18831
3Academica1777329:171228
4Santarem1757513:13022
5Atletico CP1764715:15022
6Lusitano GC1763818:18021
7Amora1746717:22-518
8Caldas ✔ 1753916:23-718
91u00ba Dezembro ✔ 1737712:20-816
10Covilha ✔ 1728710:22-1214

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams
Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )