Result
5:3
17/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Graca H. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Leite T. (Pen),
- 35', 1 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽,
- 45+3', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 48', 2 - 1, Araujo C. ⚽,
- 50', 2 - 2, Picas ⚽,
- 53', Enes Guimaraes F. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 2, Araujo C. (Pen),
- 60', 4 - 2, Araujo C. ⚽,
- 72', Moshood M. 🟨,
- 78', Monteiro J. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 79', Moshood M. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
- 79', Araujo C. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 3, Leite T. ⚽,
- 86', Bruninho 🟨,
- 90+4', 5 - 3, Henriques L. ⚽,
- 90+7', Braga V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim
53.8% | Draw
25.4% | Fafe
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fafe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fafe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varzim - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.22) |
3.65 ↑
(3.07) |
4.45 ↑
(3.12) |
7.9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varzim - Fafe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fafe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varzim (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 0.
- Varzim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fafe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Varzim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Fafe?
Varzim has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Varzim?
Fafe has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Fafe were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fafe
-
Varzim
1:0
09.11.2024
Fafe
-
Varzim
2:0
10.08.2024
Varzim
-
Fafe
0:2
03.12.2023
Varzim
-
Fafe
0:1
20.08.2023
Fafe
-
Varzim
0:0
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Sanjoanense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Braga B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Paredes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caldas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Amora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Covilha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Mafra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
