Estudiantes La Plata vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
43.2%
Draw
34.4%
Vélez Sársfield
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 32.7% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 31.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.16)
    2.71
    (2.86)
    4.21
    (3.91)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    08.07.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 0:2
    21.12.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata 0:3
    23.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0
    05.05.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    07.05.2023 Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)