Gimnasia La Plata vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.06
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
313
Passes
68% (173/253)82% (355/434)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.860.08
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
68% (173/253)82% (355/434)
Long passes
46% (26/57)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
50% (46/92)73% (116/160)
Crosses
33% (5/15)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.58
Throw-ins
1834
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (16/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
4822
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.082.86
Goals prevented
0.080.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Torres M. , Piedrahita A. (A),
  • 41', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Panaro M. , Merlo J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Merlo J. , Piedrahita A. (A),
  • 69', Merlo J. 🟨,
  • 70', Carrizo M. 🟨,
  • 72', Giampaoli R. , German Conti ,
  • 72', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 74', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 74', Bouzat A. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 74', Gomez E. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 76', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
  • 79', Max A. , Aguiar P. ,
  • 79', Merlini B. , Castro L. ,
  • 88', Carrizo M. , Santos M. ,
  • 88', Gordon J. , Andrada I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
26.1%
Draw
31.9%
Vélez Sársfield
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 34.3% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 33.9% 38.2%

Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.66
(3.35)
2.99
(2.73)
2.28
(2.47)
4.5%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 18.5%61.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vélez is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Garayalde N. (Inactive) Lomonaco S. (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Inactive) Sosa A. (Inactive) Suso G. (Yellow Cards) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Yangali J. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Machuca I. (Suspended) Mammana E. (Ankle Injury) Roldan L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gimnasia La Plata: Pintado J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    13.05.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 3:1
    09.02.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    13.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    30.01.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    6Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2
    7Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    8Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs1 : 0
    2Racing ClubTigre1 : 0
    3Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.0 : 2
    4Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Boca JuniorsRacing Club
    2Gimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2