Vélez Sársfield vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata
Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.53
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
74% (286/389)75% (350/464)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.05
Total shots
714
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
74% (286/389)75% (350/464)
Long passes
42% (28/67)44% (32/73)
Passes in final third
63% (63/100)61% (66/108)
Crosses
10% (1/10)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.36
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
1117
Tackles
70% (19/27)69% (25/36)
Duels won
7876
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
2514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.050.14
Goals prevented
0.05-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 33', Castillo R. 🟨,
  • 33', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 34', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
  • 35', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Montoro A. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 58', Suso G. 🟨,
  • 61', Lagos A. , Gordon J. ,
  • 63', De Blasis P. 🟨,
  • 69', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 71', Merlini B. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Corbalan F. , Briasco N. ,
  • 74', Baeza C. , Vazquez K. A. ,
  • 74', Carrizo M. , Machuca I. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 83', Silva Torrejon P. , Mammini I. ,
  • 89', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 90', Castro L. , de Asis J. ,
  • 90', Bouzat A. , Silvero T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
37%
Draw
40.7%
Gimnasia La Plata
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 29.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 29.3% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.08)
    2.42
    (3.18)
    4.32
    (3.85)
    3.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 0.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
    • Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gimnasia La Plata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Vélez is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez M. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Mammana E. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Vélez won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:24 (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    13.05.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 3:1
    09.02.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    13.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    30.01.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2San Lorenzo63215:3211
    3Rosario Central62404:2210
    4Lanus53025:329
    5Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Gimnasia L.P52124:407
    8Atl. Tucuman51315:506
    9Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11San Martin S.J51224:5-15
    12Talleres Cordoba51223:4-15
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)