Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | AFA Play, TNT Sports |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
74% (286/389) | 75% (350/464) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.14 | 0.05 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
74% (286/389) | 75% (350/464) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (28/67) | 44% (32/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (63/100) | 61% (66/108) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (1/10) | 28% (7/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.24 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (19/27) | 69% (25/36) |
Duels won |
---|
78 | 76 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
25 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.05 | 0.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Castro L. 🟨,
- 33', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 33', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 34', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
- 35', Flores D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Montoro A. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 58', Suso G. 🟨,
- 61', Lagos A. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 63', De Blasis P. 🟨,
- 69', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 71', Merlini B. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 72', Corbalan F. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
- 74', Baeza C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 74', Carrizo M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ⚽,
- 83', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
- 89', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 90', Castro L. ↓, de Asis J. ↑,
- 90', Bouzat A. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 37% | Draw 40.7% | Gimnasia La Plata 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (2.08) |
2.42 ↓ (3.18) |
4.32 ↑ (3.85) |
3.5% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 0.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
- Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gimnasia La Plata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Mammana E.
(Inactive)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Martinez E.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa A.
(Inactive)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Vélez won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:24 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Vélez Sársfield?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
13.05.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:1
09.02.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
13.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
30.01.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)