Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | AFA Play, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (286/389) | 75% (350/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (286/389) | 75% (350/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 44% (32/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (63/100) | 61% (66/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 69% (25/36) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Castro L. 🟨,
- 33', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 33', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 34', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
- 35', Flores D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Montoro A. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 58', Suso G. 🟨,
- 61', Lagos A. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 63', De Blasis P. 🟨,
- 69', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 71', Merlini B. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 72', Corbalan F. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
- 74', Baeza C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 74', Carrizo M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ⚽,
- 83', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
- 89', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 90', Castro L. ↓, de Asis J. ↑,
- 90', Bouzat A. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
37% | Draw
40.7% | Gimnasia La Plata
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.08) |
2.42 ↓
(3.18) |
4.32 ↑
(3.85) |
3.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 0.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
- Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gimnasia La Plata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Vélez have a series of guest games.
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Mammana E.
(Inactive)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Martinez E.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa A.
(Inactive)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Vélez won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:24 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Vélez Sársfield?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
13.05.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:1
09.02.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
13.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
30.01.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
