Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central
Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.57
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (387/456)75% (250/332)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.31
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3011
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
85% (387/456)75% (250/332)
Long passes
64% (30/47)43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
70% (111/159)67% (71/106)
Crosses
25% (7/28)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.72
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1612
Tackles
74% (14/19)68% (23/34)
Duels won
4173
Clearances
1937
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.310.55
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Veliz A. , Sandez A. (A),
  • 23', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 24', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Lanzini M. ,
  • 65', Lopez S. 🟨,
  • 66', Galvan T. , Valdes D. ,
  • 68', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 69', Lopez S. , Navarro F. ,
  • 71', Lanzini M. , Arias M. ,
  • 79', Di Maria A. , Oviedo F. ,
  • 84', Sandez A. 🟨,
  • 84', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 87', Broun J. 🟨,
  • 88', Braian Romero , Godoy D. ,
  • 90+2', Broun J. , Werner A. ,
  • 90+2', Veliz A. , Modica A. ,
  • 90+6', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Malcorra I. (Pen),
  • 90+12', Aliendro R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
37.8%
Draw
32.6%
Rosario Central
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 32.1% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 31.8% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.8)
    2.9
    (2.9)
    3.14
    (2.68)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Baeza C. (Yellow Cards) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty) Pellegrini M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Knee Injury) Modica A. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    01.10.2024 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    05.03.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:0
    19.10.2023 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.05.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 0:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)