Vélez Sársfield vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.57
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
85% (387/456)	75% (250/332)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	1.31
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
30	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
85% (387/456)	75% (250/332)
Long passes
64% (30/47)	43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
70% (111/159)	67% (71/106)
Crosses
25% (7/28)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.72
Throw-ins
28	19
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
74% (14/19)	68% (23/34)
Duels won
41	73
Clearances
19	37
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.31	0.55
Goals prevented
-0.69	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Veliz A. ⚽, Sandez A. (A),
23', Bouzat A. 🟨,
24', Braian Romero 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽,
65', Lopez S. 🟨,
66', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
68', Malcorra I. 🟨,
69', Lopez S. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
71', Lanzini M. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
79', Di Maria A. ↓, Oviedo F. ↑,
84', Sandez A. 🟨,
84', Lagos A. 🟨,
87', Broun J. 🟨,
88', Braian Romero ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
90+2', Broun J. ↓, Werner A. ↑,
90+2', Veliz A. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
90+6', Gomez E. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Malcorra I. (Pen),
90+12', Aliendro R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vélez Sársfield
37.8%

Draw
32.6%

Rosario Central
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.8%

35%

Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)	2.9 (2.9)	3.14 ↑ (2.68)	5.8% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Vélez: Baeza C. (Yellow Cards) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty) Pellegrini M. (Red Card)
There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Knee Injury) Modica A. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Rosario Central?

Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Vélez Sársfield?

Rosario Central has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central were as follows:

05.04.2025 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 2:1

01.10.2024 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 3:0

05.03.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:0

19.10.2023 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 1:1

15.05.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 0:0

Latest results of Vélez Sársfield

06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 2:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺

19.09.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Rosario Central

05.10.2025 Rosario Central - River Plate 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Newells Old Boys	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Lanus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Velez Sarsfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Independiente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Estudiantes L.P	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Boca Juniors	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Union de Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Talleres Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Defensa y Justicia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Instituto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Platense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. Riestra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Central Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Gimnasia Mendoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tigre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Argentinos Jrs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Banfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gimnasia L.P	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Racing Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Huracan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	River Plate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Belgrano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Aldosivi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atl. Tucuman	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Ind. Rivadavia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Sarmiento Junin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Barracas Central	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)