Rosario Central vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
italyItalyComo TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.06
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
80% (329/410)62% (138/221)
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.12
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
31
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
177
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
166
Passes
80% (329/410)62% (138/221)
Long passes
60% (27/45)13% (6/47)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)44% (28/63)
Crosses
23% (6/26)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.19
Fouls
616
Tackles
67% (18/27)58% (21/36)
Duels won
6763
Clearances Total
4145
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.121.78
Goals prevented
0.12-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Braian Romero ,
  • 19', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 24', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 39', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Coronel E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Porcel M. , Bouzat A. ,
  • 49', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 53', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 56', Pizzini F. , Gomez E. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Sandez A. , Lovera M. (A),
  • 58', Giaccone L. , Duarte G. ,
  • 59', Ibarra F. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 61', Santos M. , Baeza C. ,
  • 63', O'Connor T. 🟨,
  • 63', Gomez V. 🟨,
  • 70', Lovera M. , Segovia S. ,
  • 77', Braian Romero , Carrizo M. ,
  • 77', Lagos A. , Mammana E. ,
  • 87', Coronel E. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 87', Lopez S. , Cantizano G. ,
  • 90', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Segovia S. (A),
  • 90+3', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Navarro F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
43.2%
Draw
31.9%
Vélez Sársfield
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 30.4% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 30.1% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.9)
    2.99
    (3.1)
    3.76
    (4.74)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Vélez (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Vélez have a series of home games.
    • In this match Rosario is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Yellow Cards) Gimenez J. (Inactive) Mallo Blanco F. (Muscle Injury) Modica A. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Injury) Pernicone P. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:24 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    05.03.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 1:0
    19.10.2023 Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.05.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central 0:0
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)