Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/410) | 62% (138/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (329/410) | 62% (138/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 13% (6/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 44% (28/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 58% (21/36) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 63 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽,
- 19', Quiros A. 🟨,
- 24', Ibarra F. 🟨,
- 39', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Coronel E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Porcel M. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
- 49', Braian Romero 🟨,
- 53', Quiros A. 🟨,
- 56', Pizzini F. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Sandez A. ⚽, Lovera M. (A),
- 58', Giaccone L. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 59', Ibarra F. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 61', Santos M. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 63', O'Connor T. 🟨,
- 63', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 70', Lovera M. ↓, Segovia S. ↑,
- 77', Braian Romero ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
- 77', Lagos A. ↓, Mammana E. ↑,
- 87', Coronel E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 87', Lopez S. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
- 90', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Segovia S. (A),
- 90+3', Gimenez E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Navarro F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
43.2% | Draw
31.9% | Vélez Sársfield
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.9) |
2.99 ↓
(3.1) |
3.76 ↓
(4.74) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Vélez (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Rosario (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Vélez have a series of home games.
- In this match Rosario is a favorite.
- There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Yellow Cards)
Gimenez J.
(Inactive)
Mallo Blanco F.
(Muscle Injury)
Modica A.
(Knee Injury)
Quintana C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
Pernicone P.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:24 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Vélez Sársfield?
Rosario Central has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Rosario Central?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
01.10.2024
Rosario Central
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
05.03.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Rosario Central
1:0
19.10.2023
Rosario Central
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.05.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Rosario Central
0:0
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Atl. Tucuman | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
