Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/264) | 76% (260/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/264) | 76% (260/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (72/123) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Mammana E. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
- 28', Villalba C. 🟨,
- 28', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
- 36', Suhr L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Valdes D. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 56', Pratto L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 56', Villalba C. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ⚽,
- 64', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ⚽,
- 68', Arismendi Y. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 79', Lanzini M. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
- 79', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
- 87', Baeza C. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 90+4', Magallan L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
26.5% | Draw
33.8% | Vélez Sársfield
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.13) |
2.81 ↓
(2.84) |
2.4 ↓
(2.5) |
5.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
Renteria J.
(International duty)
Roncaglia F.
(Coach's decision)
- There will not play in Vélez: Aliendro R.
(Red Card)
Carrizo M.
(International duty)
Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Gordon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
Montero A.
(International duty)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Vélez Sársfield?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
14.04.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
01.12.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
14.07.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
22.08.2022
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
