Sarmiento de Junín vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield
Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.23
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
67% (176/264)76% (260/341)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.232.05
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
1025
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
67% (176/264)76% (260/341)
Long passes
41% (31/76)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
59% (72/123)64% (63/99)
Crosses
10% (2/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.52
Throw-ins
2429
Fouls
1616
Tackles
82% (14/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
2.050.23
Goals prevented
0.050.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mammana E. , Quiros A. ,
  • 28', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 28', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 36', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Valdes D. , Pizzini F. ,
  • 56', Pratto L. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 56', Villalba C. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ,
  • 64', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ,
  • 68', Arismendi Y. , Ardaiz J. ,
  • 79', Lanzini M. , Galvan T. ,
  • 79', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 87', Baeza C. , Roldan L. ,
  • 90+4', Magallan L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
26.5%
Draw
33.8%
Vélez Sársfield
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 32.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 32.2% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.13)
    2.81
    (2.84)
    2.4
    (2.5)
    5.3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (International duty) Roncaglia F. (Coach's decision)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Aliendro R. (Red Card) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    01.12.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    14.07.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    22.08.2022 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    2Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    3Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    4Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    5Belgrano1346313:10318
    6Racing Club1353514:13118
    7Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    8Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    9Barracas Central1145213:11217
    10Tigre1245311:9217
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan124446:10-416
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus1382315:9626
    2Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    3Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    4Rosario Central1266014:6824
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    7San Lorenzo124449:9016
    8Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    9Sarmiento Junin124359:13-415
    10Instituto123637:11-415
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1225511:17-611
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente120666:13-76

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)