Result
0:1
14/04/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/498) | 66% (170/259) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/498) | 66% (170/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 25% (18/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (111/154) | 45% (38/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Vallejos J. 🟨,
- 36', Carrizo M. 🟨,
- 41', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 45', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vazquez K. A. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 55', Carabajal G. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
- 58', Suhr L. 🟨,
- 64', Gho J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 64', Suhr L. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 66', Montoro A. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Frias F. ⚽, Diaz G. (A),
- 72', Frias F. 🟨,
- 80', Morales I. 🟨,
- 82', Lagos A. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 83', Morales I. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 88', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Santos M. (Pen),
- 90+2', Machuca I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
56% | Draw
27.5% | Sarmiento de Junín
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.87) |
3.42 ↑
(3.1) |
5.64 ↑
(4.5) |
6.2%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín?
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sarmiento have a series of home games.
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Braian Romero
(Yellow Cards)
Cavanagh T.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
Pellegrini M.
(Muscle Injury)
Pernicone P.
(Knee Injury)
Quiros A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Andrada J.
(Inactive)
Diaz G.
(Inactive)
Orihuela R.
(Yellow Cards)
Rosales M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Carrizo M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Arismendi Y.
(Inactive)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Vélez won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Vélez Sársfield?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
01.12.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
14.07.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
22.08.2022
Vélez Sársfield
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
