Vélez Sársfield vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín
Result
0:1
14/04/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.78
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
82% (410/498)66% (170/259)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.60
Total shots
187
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
338
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
82% (410/498)66% (170/259)
Long passes
45% (13/29)25% (18/71)
Passes in final third
72% (111/154)45% (38/84)
Crosses
19% (7/36)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.32
Fouls
1113
Tackles
47% (8/17)76% (19/25)
Duels won
6760
Clearances Total
1548
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.601.44
Goals prevented
-0.401.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 36', Carrizo M. 🟨,
  • 41', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 45', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vazquez K. A. , Machuca I. ,
  • 55', Carabajal G. , Frias F. ,
  • 58', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 64', Gho J. , Diaz G. ,
  • 64', Suhr L. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 66', Montoro A. , Galvan T. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Frias F. , Diaz G. (A),
  • 72', Frias F. 🟨,
  • 80', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 82', Lagos A. , Pizzini F. ,
  • 83', Morales I. , Garcia M. ,
  • 88', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Santos M. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Machuca I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
56%
Draw
27.5%
Sarmiento de Junín
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 29.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 29.3% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.87)
    3.42
    (3.1)
    5.64
    (4.5)
    6.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.53%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sarmiento have a series of home games.
    • In this match Vélez is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Braian Romero (Yellow Cards) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez M. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Injury) Pellegrini M. (Muscle Injury) Pernicone P. (Knee Injury) Quiros A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Andrada J. (Inactive) Diaz G. (Inactive) Orihuela R. (Yellow Cards) Rosales M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Carrizo M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Arismendi Y. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Vélez won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    14.07.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    22.08.2022 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Barracas Central943211:9215
    3Tigre104339:7215
    4Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    5Boca Juniors935112:6614
    6Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    7Banfield104249:13-414
    8Belgrano93339:7212
    9Defensa y Justicia93339:8112
    10Huracan93335:8-312
    11Argentinos Jrs932410:8211
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi90361:12-113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4Lanus95139:8116
    5San Lorenzo93426:6013
    6Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    7Rosario Central82606:4212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P93156:9-310
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz91538:11-38
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)