Sarmiento de Junín vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.23
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
67% (176/264)76% (260/341)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.232.05
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
1025
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
67% (176/264)76% (260/341)
Long passes
41% (31/76)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
59% (72/123)64% (63/99)
Crosses
10% (2/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.52
Throw-ins
2429
Fouls
1616
Tackles
82% (14/17)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
2.050.23
Goals prevented
0.050.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mammana E. , Quiros A. ,
  • 28', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 28', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 36', Suhr L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Valdes D. , Pizzini F. ,
  • 56', Pratto L. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 56', Villalba C. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Lanzini M. ,
  • 64', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Pizzini F. ,
  • 68', Arismendi Y. , Ardaiz J. ,
  • 79', Lanzini M. , Galvan T. ,
  • 79', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 87', Baeza C. , Roldan L. ,
  • 90+4', Magallan L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
26.5%
Draw
33.8%
Vélez Sársfield
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 32.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 32.2% 38.1%

Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.56
(3.13)
2.81
(2.84)
2.4
(2.5)
5.3%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (International duty) Roncaglia F. (Coach's decision)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Aliendro R. (Red Card) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Montero A. (International duty)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    01.12.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    14.07.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    22.08.2022 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    6Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    7Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    8Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs
    2Racing ClubTigre
    3Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.
    4Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2