Venados vs Tlaxcala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Venados - Tlaxcala
Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Gurrea D. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 3, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
410
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ,
  • 22', Lopez F. , Espinosa E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Santillan F. , Lozano M. ,
  • 46', Palma M. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 47', Gama D. 🟨,
  • 55', Zamudio J. 🟨,
  • 66', Zago D. , Mariscal K. ,
  • 66', Celaya J. , Rios P. ,
  • 68', Madrid W. 🟨,
  • 74', Pedroza M. 🟨,
  • 77', Garcia M. , Lopez F. ,
  • 77', Espinosa E. , Lora S. ,
  • 77', Serna A. , Carrillo L. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Pedroza M. (Pen),
  • 90+9', 2 - 1, Calzadilla L. ,

Chances of winning


Venados
59.9%
Draw
21.9%
Tlaxcala
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 20.1% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.5% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Venados - Tlaxcala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.44)
    4.2
    (4.6)
    5.06
    (6.01)
    8.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Venados won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Venados is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Venados won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Venados won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tlaxcala were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Tlaxcala - Venados 1:1
    21.02.2024 Tlaxcala - Venados 1:0
    21.07.2023 Venados - Tlaxcala 3:1
    14.03.2023 Tlaxcala - Venados 1:1
    04.10.2022 Venados - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Latest results of Venados
    05.04.2025 Dorados - Venados 3:1
    20.03.2025 Correcaminos UAT - Venados 1:1
    05.03.2025 Venados - Tapatío 4:2
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    05.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Celaya 0:3
    29.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Dorados 3:2
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun440010:01012
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos42207:258
    3Zacatecas Mineros42208:448
    4Leones Negros42117:527
    5Tapatio42117:527
    6Tampico Madero32104:227
    7Irapuato42029:906
    8Correcaminos41215:415
    9Atlante31117:434
    10Atl. Morelia31114:7-34
    11Dorados de Sinaloa41031:7-63
    12Atletico La Paz40225:8-32
    13Alebrijes Oaxaca30123:6-31
    14Venados40135:11-61
    15Tlaxcala40131:9-81

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)