Result
5:1
06/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Calero J. ⚽, Navarrete D. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Trejo Castro M. A. ⚽, Vidrio N. (A),
- 26', Martinez D. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 26', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Solis E. ↑,
- 27', 3 - 0, Calero J. ⚽,
- 43', 3 - 1, Esnaider F. ⚽, Salomon O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lopez C. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
- 46', Torres Sauri M. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
- 57', Esnaider F. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 57', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 59', 4 - 1, Casillas J. ⚽,
- 60', Galvan P. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 64', 5 - 1, Amador K. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
- 78', Robles E. ↓, Christian ↑,
- 83', Christian 🟨,
- 84', Navarrete D. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Venados
55.2% | Draw
23.3% | Tlaxcala
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Venados - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.79) |
3.97 ↑
(3.9) |
4.31 ↑
(3.73) |
8.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Venados - Tlaxcala?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tlaxcala will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venados (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.
- Recent performances by Venados have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tlaxcala has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Venados is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tlaxcala?
Venados has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Venados?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tlaxcala were as follows:
11.04.2025
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
26.10.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
21.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:0
21.07.2023
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
14.03.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
