Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County
Result
4:6
01/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.954.80
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (328/398)88% (510/577)
Long passes
45% (25/55)61% (51/84)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)66% (73/110)
Crosses
39% (7/18)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.301.47
Throw-ins
714
Fouls
1313
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
4.802.95
Goals prevented
-1.20-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Kocevski J. , Sullivan N. (A), Vivi Quesada G. (A2)
  • 6', 1 - 1, Gomez S. , Burney L. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. , Kocevski J. (A),
  • 23', Arnold G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 3, Miller H. , Vanney D. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 4, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Khoury J. , Hassan O. ,
  • 46', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 5, Kocevski J. ,
  • 59', Tsukanome Y. , Robles D. ,
  • 60', Burney L. , Lopez A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 5, Gomez S. , Yamada K. (A),
  • 68', Miller H. , Bucknor J. ,
  • 68', Vivi Quesada G. , Ramos R. ,
  • 75', Gaffney C. , Pedder R. ,
  • 76', Arnold G. , Tsakiris M. ,
  • 76', Sousa T. , Diaw B. ,
  • 81', Kocevski J. , Middleby M. ,
  • 81', Sullivan N. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 85', Alvarez D. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Gomez S. ,
  • 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 6, Musto T. ,
  • 90', 4 - 6, Yamada K. ,
  • 90+1', Saribekyan L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
35.3%
Draw
22.9%
Ventura County
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 21.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.3)
    3.98
    (3.96)
    2.19
    (2.44)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    07.03.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    20.10.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:0
    18.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 3:2
    31.05.2024 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 3:2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Ventura County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    2Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    6New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    7Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    8Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)
    4Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)