Result
4:6
01/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/398) | 88% (510/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 4.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/398) | 88% (510/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 61% (51/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/128) | 66% (73/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.80 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.20 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 2', 0 - 1, Kocevski J. ⚽, Sullivan N. (A), Vivi Quesada G. (A2)
- 6', 1 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽, Burney L. (A),
- 19', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Kocevski J. (A),
- 23', Arnold G. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 3, Miller H. ⚽, Vanney D. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 4, Kocevski J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Khoury J. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
- 46', Burney L. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 5, Kocevski J. ⚽,
- 59', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- 60', Burney L. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 5, Gomez S. ⚽, Yamada K. (A),
- 68', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
- 68', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 75', Gaffney C. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
- 76', Arnold G. ↓, Tsakiris M. ↑,
- 76', Sousa T. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
- 81', Kocevski J. ↓, Middleby M. ↑,
- 81', Sullivan N. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
- 85', Alvarez D. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 5, Gomez S. ⚽,
- 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 6, Musto T. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 6, Yamada K. ⚽,
- 90+1', Saribekyan L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
35.3% | Draw
22.9% | Ventura County
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.3) |
3.98 ↑
(3.96) |
2.19 ↓
(2.44) |
9.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
- In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ventura County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Ventura County?
Tacoma Defiance has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against Tacoma Defiance?
Ventura County has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County were as follows:
02.05.2025
Ventura County
-
Tacoma Defiance
1:2
07.03.2025
Ventura County
-
Tacoma Defiance
3:2
20.10.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Ventura County
4:0
18.08.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Ventura County
3:2
31.05.2024
Ventura County
-
Tacoma Defiance
3:2
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of Ventura County
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
