Result
2:2
30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/417) | 76% (321/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/417) | 76% (321/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (38/69) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽, Pagano R. (A),
- 41', Benali A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Partipilo A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 46', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Fumagalli T. ⚽,
- 51', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Benali A. (A),
- 58', Chiappella A. 🟨,
- 65', Verreth M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 65', Braunoder M. ↓, Darboe E. ↑,
- 65', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 70', Castrovilli G. 🟨,
- 71', Fumagalli T. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
- 71', Di Mario S. 🟨,
- 72', Dorval M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 76', Franzoni A. 🟨,
- 81', Benali A. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
- 81', Marconi I. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
- 82', Bariti D. 🟨,
- 82', Chiappella A. 🟥,
- 87', 2 - 2, Gytkjaer C. ⚽,
- 90', Debenedetti A. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
- 90', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/kyr4uhhy
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
42.6% | Draw
30.9% | Bari
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Virtus Entella - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.13) |
3.04 ↓
(3.31) |
3.55 ↑
(3.38) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Bari?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Bari will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bari (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Bari (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Bari (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Bari (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 2 - 20%). Bari (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3.
- Virtus Entella has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bari: Vicari F.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Bari?
Virtus Entella has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Virtus Entella?
Bari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Bari were as follows:
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
