Result
2:1
27/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (316/447) | 57% (184/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (316/447) | 57% (184/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (17/77) | 24% (19/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (66/118) | 47% (56/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Hidaka M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hidaka M. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 46', Komatsu R. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
- 52', Thuler M. 🟨,
- 63', Goke Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 66', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 66', Shiotani T. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Arai N. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 87', Nakamura S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 90+2', Diego 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Osako Y. ⚽,
- 90+4', Matsumoto T. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
35.6% | Draw
28.8% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.5) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
2.64 ↑
(2.6) |
6.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Muto Y.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Injury)
Kim Ju-Sung
(International duty)
Osako K.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Osako Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Vissel Kobe has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Vissel Kobe?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
16.11.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:0
20.08.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Vissel Kobe
0:1
02.07.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
07.02.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:2
05.07.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Vissel Kobe
1:3
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
