Result
2:1
10/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 20
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (194/279) | 82% (371/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (194/279) | 82% (371/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (59/87) | 69% (91/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (28/41) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 82 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
- 42', Marschalk M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', van Kaam D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Lokesa C. ⚽, Kuster H. (A),
- 61', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 61', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 71', Lokesa C. 🟨,
- 75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 75', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
- 77', Marschalk M. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
- 77', Zonneveld N. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
- 86', Cleonise D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 86', Kuster H. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
- 88', Thenu X. ↓, Steffen M. ↑,
- 89', Kramer M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zumberi V. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Pinto J. ⚽, Ranon Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Vitesse
34.8% | Draw
25.3% | Waalwijk
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vitesse - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3) |
3.68 ↑
(3.5) |
2.35 ↑
(2.08) |
7.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Waalwijk (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0.
- In recent matches, Vitesse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Waalwijk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Schikora M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Waalwijk?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Vitesse?
Waalwijk has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Waalwijk were as follows:
16.09.2025
Waalwijk
-
Vitesse
1:1
30.10.2024
Waalwijk
-
Vitesse
3:1
09.03.2024
Waalwijk
-
Vitesse
3:1
16.09.2023
Vitesse
-
Waalwijk
0:2
01.04.2023
Waalwijk
-
Vitesse
1:0
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 56 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 54:48 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Willem II | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 39 |
| 7 | Roda | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43:40 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:40 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Venlo | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Den Bosch | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:50 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Helmond | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:45 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 18 | Oss | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 23 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
