Vitesse vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GelreDome (Arnhem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 20
Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.59
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
70% (194/279)	82% (371/450)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.59
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
10	35
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
70% (194/279)	82% (371/450)
Long passes
37% (21/57)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
68% (59/87)	69% (91/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.46
Throw-ins
21	22
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
68% (28/41)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
82	58
Clearances
26	27
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.59	0.91
Goals prevented
-0.41	-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
42', Marschalk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', van Kaam D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Lokesa C. ⚽, Kuster H. (A),
61', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
61', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
71', Lokesa C. 🟨,
75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
75', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
77', Marschalk M. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
77', Zonneveld N. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
86', Cleonise D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
86', Kuster H. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
88', Thenu X. ↓, Steffen M. ↑,
89', Kramer M. 🟨,
90+3', Zumberi V. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Pinto J. ⚽, Ranon Y. (A),

Chances of winning

Vitesse
34.8%

Draw
25.3%

Waalwijk
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Vitesse - Waalwijk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	2.35 ↑ (2.08)	7.2% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Vitesse - Waalwijk?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Waalwijk (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0.
In recent matches, Vitesse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Waalwijk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vitesse: Schikora M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury) van Gelderen L. (Knock)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Waalwijk?

Vitesse has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Vitesse?

Waalwijk has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Waalwijk were as follows:

16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1

30.10.2024 Waalwijk - Vitesse 3:1

09.03.2024 Waalwijk - Vitesse 3:1

16.09.2023 Vitesse - Waalwijk 0:2

01.04.2023 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:0

Latest results of Vitesse

07.12.2025 Vitesse - FC Oss 0:0 ✺

04.12.2025 Vitesse - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

01.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 2:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Vitesse - Jong PSV 3:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Waalwijk

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

01.12.2025 Jong PSV - Waalwijk 3:1 ✺

25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 FC Oss - Waalwijk 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
6	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
7	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
8	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
13	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
18	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
19	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

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