Vitesse vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GelreDome (Arnhem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 20
Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.59
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
70% (194/279)	82% (371/450)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.59
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
10	35
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
70% (194/279)	82% (371/450)
Long passes
37% (21/57)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
68% (59/87)	69% (91/132)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.46
Throw-ins
21	22
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
68% (28/41)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
82	58
Clearances
26	27
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.59	0.91
Goals prevented
-0.41	-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
42', Marschalk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', van Kaam D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Lokesa C. ⚽, Kuster H. (A),
61', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
61', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
71', Lokesa C. 🟨,
75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
75', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Eijma R. ↑,
77', Marschalk M. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
77', Zonneveld N. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
86', Cleonise D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
86', Kuster H. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
88', Thenu X. ↓, Steffen M. ↑,
89', Kramer M. 🟨,
90+3', Zumberi V. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Pinto J. ⚽, Ranon Y. (A),

Chances of winning

Vitesse
34.8%

Draw
25.3%

Waalwijk
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Vitesse - Waalwijk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	2.35 ↑ (2.08)	7.2% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Vitesse - Waalwijk?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Waalwijk (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0.
In recent matches, Vitesse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Waalwijk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vitesse: Schikora M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury) van Gelderen L. (Knock)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Waalwijk?

Vitesse has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Vitesse?

Waalwijk has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Waalwijk were as follows:

16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1

30.10.2024 Waalwijk - Vitesse 3:1

09.03.2024 Waalwijk - Vitesse 3:1

16.09.2023 Vitesse - Waalwijk 0:2

01.04.2023 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:0

Latest results of Vitesse

07.12.2025 Vitesse - FC Oss 0:0 ✺

04.12.2025 Vitesse - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

01.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Vitesse 2:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Vitesse - Jong PSV 3:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Dordrecht - Vitesse 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Waalwijk

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

01.12.2025 Jong PSV - Waalwijk 3:1 ✺

25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 FC Oss - Waalwijk 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	29	22	2	5	70:30	40	68
2	Cambuur	28	19	6	3	60:32	28	63
3	De Graafschap	29	14	7	8	55:44	11	49
4	Jong PSV	29	14	5	10	59:53	6	47
5	Roda	29	12	10	7	49:43	6	46
6	Willem II	29	13	7	9	41:36	5	46
7	Almere City	29	13	3	13	60:50	10	42
8	Waalwijk	29	11	8	10	47:44	3	41
9	Dordrecht	29	11	8	10	39:38	1	41
10	Den Bosch	29	11	6	12	51:53	-2	39
11	Venlo	29	11	4	14	38:43	-5	37
12	Eindhoven FC	29	10	4	15	41:53	-12	34
13	FC Emmen	28	9	6	13	43:51	-8	33
14	Jong Utrecht	29	8	9	12	47:52	-5	33
15	Helmond	29	9	5	15	36:53	-17	32
16	Maastricht	29	8	7	14	35:58	-23	31
17	Jong AZ	29	9	3	17	49:57	-8	30
18	Vitesse	29	10	9	10	43:45	-2	27
19	Oss	29	6	9	14	35:50	-15	27
20	Jong Ajax	29	6	8	15	40:53	-13	26

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )