Almere City vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yanmar Stadion (Almere).

Eerste Divisie - Round 17
Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.80
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
76% (256/338)	81% (409/505)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.49
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
15	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	18
Passes
76% (256/338)	81% (409/505)
Long passes
42% (27/64)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)	66% (105/159)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	1.04
Throw-ins
25	21
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
75% (9/12)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
35	51
Clearances
31	17
Interceptions
15	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.49	1.57
Goals prevented
1.49	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
24', Blancquart G. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kalisvaart J. (A),
35', Triep J. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
55', Sam A. 🟨,
60', Janssen T. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
67', Lawrence J. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
67', Sam A. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
72', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
72', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
73', Druijf F. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
82', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
82', Burgering B. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Almere City
51.9%

Draw
22.9%

VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Almere City - VVV-Venlo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	4.08 ↓ (4.12)	3.78 ↓ (4.27)	6.2% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Almere City - VVV-Venlo?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Almere City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Almere City: Wendlinger J. (Red Card)
There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against VVV-Venlo?

Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Almere City?

VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - VVV-Venlo were as follows:

03.06.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 2:1

30.05.2023 VVV-Venlo - Almere City 1:1

13.03.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 1:3

Latest results of Almere City

21.11.2025 Den Bosch - Almere City 5:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

03.11.2025 Dordrecht - Almere City 0:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Sparta Nijkerk - Almere City 0:2 ✺

24.10.2025 Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2 ✺

31.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen 0:3 ✺

24.10.2025 FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie