Almere City vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yanmar Stadion (Almere).

Eerste Divisie - Round 17
Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.80
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
76% (256/338)	81% (409/505)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.49
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
15	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	18
Passes
76% (256/338)	81% (409/505)
Long passes
42% (27/64)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)	66% (105/159)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.28	1.04
Throw-ins
25	21
Fouls
18	12
Tackles
75% (9/12)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
35	51
Clearances
31	17
Interceptions
15	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.49	1.57
Goals prevented
1.49	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Burgering B. (A),
24', Blancquart G. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kalisvaart J. (A),
35', Triep J. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
55', Sam A. 🟨,
60', Janssen T. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
67', Lawrence J. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
67', Sam A. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
72', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
72', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
73', Druijf F. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
82', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
82', Burgering B. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Almere City
51.9%

Draw
22.9%

VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

22.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Almere City - VVV-Venlo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	4.08 ↓ (4.12)	3.78 ↓ (4.27)	6.2% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Almere City - VVV-Venlo?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Almere City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Almere City: Wendlinger J. (Red Card)
There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against VVV-Venlo?

Almere City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Almere City?

VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - VVV-Venlo were as follows:

03.06.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 2:1

30.05.2023 VVV-Venlo - Almere City 1:1

13.03.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 1:3

Latest results of Almere City

21.11.2025 Den Bosch - Almere City 5:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

03.11.2025 Dordrecht - Almere City 0:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Sparta Nijkerk - Almere City 0:2 ✺

24.10.2025 Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2 ✺

31.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen 0:3 ✺

24.10.2025 FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	28	21	2	5	69:30	39	65
2	Cambuur	26	17	6	3	55:29	26	57
3	De Graafschap	28	14	6	8	52:41	11	48
4	Jong PSV	28	14	4	10	58:52	6	46
5	Roda	28	12	9	7	47:41	6	45
6	Willem II	28	12	7	9	38:36	2	43
7	Dordrecht	28	11	7	10	38:37	1	40
8	Almere City	27	12	3	12	55:45	10	39
9	Waalwijk	28	10	8	10	45:43	2	38
10	Den Bosch	28	11	5	12	49:51	-2	38
11	Venlo	28	11	4	13	38:42	-4	37
12	Eindhoven FC	28	10	4	14	40:51	-11	34
13	Jong Utrecht	27	8	9	10	45:48	-3	33
14	Helmond	28	9	5	14	35:48	-13	32
15	FC Emmen	26	8	6	12	42:48	-6	30
16	Jong AZ	28	9	3	16	49:55	-6	30
17	Maastricht	28	8	6	14	32:55	-23	30
18	Oss	28	6	9	13	34:48	-14	27
19	Vitesse	28	9	9	10	41:45	-4	24
20	Jong Ajax	28	5	8	15	35:52	-17	23

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