Almere City vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.80
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
76% (256/338)81% (409/505)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.49
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
76% (256/338)81% (409/505)
Long passes
42% (27/64)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)66% (105/159)
Crosses
21% (3/14)21% (6/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.04
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
1812
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3551
Clearances
3117
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.491.57
Goals prevented
1.49-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Rijkhoff J. , Burgering B. (A),
  • 24', Blancquart G. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Poku E. , Kalisvaart J. (A),
  • 35', Triep J. , Odriss M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Eijgenraam J. , Saddiki D. ,
  • 55', Sam A. 🟨,
  • 60', Janssen T. , Kromah L. ,
  • 67', Lawrence J. , Engel M. ,
  • 67', Sam A. , Reith B. ,
  • 72', Ait Mouhou N. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 72', Zandbergen D. , van Zijl B. ,
  • 73', Druijf F. , Kadile J. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Poku E. , Kadile J. (A),
  • 82', de Haan M. , Cornelisse E. ,
  • 82', Burgering B. , Jacobs Ja. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almere City
51.9%
Draw
22.9%
VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 22.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.6% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Almere City - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.68)
    4.08
    (4.12)
    3.78
    (4.27)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Almere City - VVV-Venlo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Almere City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Venlo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Almere City: Wendlinger J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.2:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    03.06.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    30.05.2023 VVV-Venlo - Almere City 1:1
    13.03.2023 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 1:3
    Latest results of Almere City
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2
    31.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 1:2
    28.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen 0:3
    24.10.2025 FC Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

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